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Europa League
Referee: Urs Schnyder
Ludogorets
U S U T T
4–1
Full-time
Shkendija
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Shkendija
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
28 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Aug -25 Shkendija – Ludogorets 2–1

Match report

Ludogorets Shkendija
1–0 E. Kurtulus ⚽
9′
2–0 I. Chochev ⚽
D. Duarte
24′
26′
🟨 Besart Ibraimi
26′
🟨 Liridon Latifi
Half-time 2–1
64′
⚽ F. Tamba 2–1
B. Ibraimi
E. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ A. Zejnullai
66′
68′
🔁 P. Stanic
↦ D. Duarte
74′
🔁 F. Kaloc
↦ I. Chochev
74′
🔁 E. Bile
↦ M. Machado
82′
🟨 Endrit Krasniqi
83′
🔁 B. Tekpetey
↦ Caio Vidal
V. Krstevski 🔁
↦ L. Latifi
89′
91′
🔁 I. Yordanov
↦ A. Nedyalkov
Erick Marcus 🟨
95′
3–1 B. Tekpetey ⚽
F. Kaloc
98′
M. Murati 🔁
↦ R. Webster
106′
K. Qaka 🔁
↦ A. Alhassan
106′
107′
🔁 S. Ivanov
↦ Erick Marcus
F. Ramadani 🔁
↦ F. Tamba
112′
F. Ademi 🔁
↦ K. Cake
112′
4–1 E. Bile ⚽
B. Tekpetey
120′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Ludogorets

24 B. Gaye
2 A. Trumci
15 I. Fetai
5 K. Cake
11 R. Webster
4 R. Ramadani
6 A. Alhassan
29 F. Tamba
17 A. Zejnullai
77 L. Latifi
7 B. Ibraimi
Bench (12)
25 A. Amzai
30 F. Ramani
8 F. Ramadani
9 F. Ademi
10 E. Krasniqi
16 M. Murati
19 V. Krstevski
22 N. Ajetovikj
26 A. Meliqi
27 L. Kaba
28 K. Qaka
38 A. Nuhija

Shkendija

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt
17 Son
15 E. Kurtulus
4 D. Almeida
3 A. Nedyalkov
30 Pedro Naressi
18 I. Chochev
23 D. Duarte
77 Erick Marcus
10 M. Machado
11 Caio Vidal
Bench (12)
39 H. Bonmann
67 D. Hristov
14 P. Stanic
24 O. Verdon
26 F. Kaloc
29 E. Bile
37 B. Tekpetey
42 S. Shishkov
55 I. Nachmias
80 M. Stefanov
82 I. Yordanov
99 S. Ivanov

Coach: Jeton Bekjiri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Urs Schnyder · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,60 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.