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Conference League
Referee: I Pajac
Crystal Palace
U S S T S
0–0
Full-time
AEK Larnaca
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace AEK Larnaca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
40%
17%
Both score Ø 29%
40%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,98 xG 0,23
71% Possession 29%
13 Shots 2
4 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Oct -25 Crystal Palace – AEK Larnaca 0–1

Match report

Crystal Palace AEK Larnaca
29′
🔁 P. Ioannou
↦ Miramon
Adam Wharton 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
68′
🔁 E. Cabrera
↦ R. Bajic
68′
🔁 Y. Gurfinkel
↦ D. Ivanovic
J. Mateta 🔁
↦ J. S. Larsen
77′
87′
🔁 C. Kyriakou
↦ M. Rohden
87′
🔁 R. Mudrazija
↦ A. Garcia
Y. Pino 🔁
↦ B. Johnson
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

3-4-3
1 D. Henderson G
26 C. Richards D
5 M. Lacroix D
23 J. Canvot D
11 B. Johnson M
20 A. Wharton M
18 D. Kamada M
3 T. Mitchell M
7 I. Sarr F
22 J. S. Larsen F
29 E. Guessand F
Bench (12)
44 W. Benitez
31 R. Matthews
17 N. Clyne
19 W. Hughes
24 B. Sosa
42 K. Rodney
8 J. Lerma
14 J. Mateta
10 Y. Pino
55 J. Devenny
34 C. Riad
59 R. Cardines

Coach: Oliver Glasner

AEK Larnaca

5-4-1
1 Z. Alomerovic G
21 Miramon D
22 G. Ekpolo D
15 H. Milicevic D
4 E. Saborit D
14 A. Garcia D
8 M. Rohden M
7 Ledes Gustavo M
17 P. Pons M
9 D. Ivanovic M
11 R. Bajic F
Bench (11)
51 A. Paraskevas
99 D. Demetriou
25 C. Kyriakou
32 R. Mudrazija
30 E. Cabrera
2 P. Ioannou
35 C. Thoma
37 D. Gerasimou
13 Y. Gurfinkel
36 C. Loukaidis
41 Mathias Gonzalez

Coach: Imanol Idiakez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Pajac · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.