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Premier League

Referee: Robert Madley

Chelsea

T S S S S

5–0

Full-time

Everton

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Everton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

This season — Premier League · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 60%

70%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,1

1,5

Conceded

0,9

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

60% Possession 40%

21 Shots 1

9 Shots on target 0

7 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chelsea 4. · Everton 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	11	7	3	1	+15	24
2	Arsenal	10	7	2	1	+13	23
3	Liverpool	10	7	2	1	+11	23
4	Chelsea	10	7	1	2	+12	22
5	Tottenham	10	5	5	0	+9	20
6	Everton	10	5	3	2	+7	18
7	Watford	10	4	3	3	+1	15
8	Man United	10	4	3	3	+1	15
9	Burnley	11	4	2	5	-4	14
10	Southampton	10	3	4	3	+1	13
11	Stoke	11	3	4	4	-5	13
12	Bournemouth	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Leicester	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Middlesbrough	11	2	5	4	-2	11
15	Crystal Palace	11	3	2	6	-3	11
16	West Ham	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	West Brom	10	2	4	4	-4	10
18	Hull	10	2	1	7	-15	7
19	Swansea	10	1	2	7	-9	5
20	Sunderland	11	1	2	8	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	7	4	1	2	+4	13
2	Chelsea	5	4	0	1	+10	12
3	Man City	6	3	3	0	+7	12
4	Leicester	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	Everton	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Tottenham	5	3	2	0	+4	11
7	Liverpool	4	3	1	0	+8	10
8	Arsenal	5	3	1	1	+4	10
9	Bournemouth	6	3	1	2	+4	10
10	Man United	5	2	2	1	+4	8
11	Southampton	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	West Ham	6	2	2	2	-3	8
13	Watford	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Stoke	5	2	1	2	-3	7
15	West Brom	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-1	4
17	Middlesbrough	5	1	1	3	-1	4
18	Hull	5	1	0	4	-7	3
19	Swansea	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Sunderland	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Liverpool	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Man City	5	4	0	1	+8	12
4	Chelsea	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Tottenham	5	2	3	0	+5	9
6	Watford	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Everton	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Middlesbrough	6	1	4	1	-1	7
9	Crystal Palace	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Man United	5	2	1	2	-3	7
11	Stoke	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Southampton	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	West Brom	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sunderland	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	Hull	5	1	1	3	-8	4
16	Swansea	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	West Ham	5	1	0	4	-6	3
18	Bournemouth	5	0	2	3	-7	2
19	Burnley	4	0	1	3	-8	1
20	Leicester	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.