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Premier League

Referee: Michael Oliver

Arsenal

T U S S S

3–0

Full-time

Chelsea

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Chelsea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

2,7

1,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,7

This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

60%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 90%

80%

100%

Both score Ø 80%

80%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

2,4

2,0

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 1

5 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arsenal 6. · Chelsea 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	Tottenham	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Liverpool	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Everton	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Man United	6	4	0	2	+5	12
6	Arsenal	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Chelsea	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	West Brom	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Watford	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Leicester	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Hull	6	2	1	3	-5	7
13	Bournemouth	6	2	1	3	-5	7
14	Southampton	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Middlesbrough	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Swansea	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Burnley	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	West Ham	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Stoke	6	0	2	4	-11	2
20	Sunderland	6	0	1	5	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Leicester	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Everton	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Tottenham	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Man United	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Chelsea	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Bournemouth	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Southampton	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	West Brom	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Burnley	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Watford	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	West Ham	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Hull	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Middlesbrough	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Swansea	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Stoke	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Sunderland	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Tottenham	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Arsenal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Liverpool	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Everton	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Man United	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Crystal Palace	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Watford	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	West Brom	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Middlesbrough	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Hull	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Swansea	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Sunderland	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Stoke	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Bournemouth	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Southampton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	West Ham	3	0	0	3	-5	0
19	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Leicester	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.