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Championship

Referee: Darren Bond

Bristol City

S T T S U

0–2

Full-time

Brighton

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Brighton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

This season — Championship · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 54%

47%

60%

Points per game

1,6

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

60%

20%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,1

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%

11 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bristol City 8. · Brighton 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	16	12	1	3	+21	37
2	Brighton	15	9	4	2	+14	31
3	Huddersfield	15	9	2	4	+0	29
4	Reading	16	8	4	4	+2	28
5	Norwich	16	8	3	5	+1	27
6	Leeds	16	8	2	6	+2	26
7	Birmingham	16	6	7	3	+3	25
8	Bristol City	15	7	3	5	+6	24
9	Fulham	16	6	6	4	+5	24
10	Preston	16	7	2	7	+2	23
11	Brentford	16	6	4	6	+5	22
12	Barnsley	16	6	3	7	+3	21
13	Aston Villa	16	4	9	3	+1	21
14	Ipswich	16	5	6	5	-1	21
15	Sheffield Weds	15	6	3	6	-3	21
16	Derby	16	5	5	6	-1	20
17	QPR	16	5	5	6	-5	20
18	Burton Albion	16	4	6	6	-2	18
19	Wolves	16	4	5	7	-2	17
20	Nott'm Forest	16	4	4	8	-5	16
21	Cardiff	16	4	3	9	-11	15
22	Wigan	16	3	5	8	-5	14
23	Blackburn	16	3	4	9	-9	13
24	Rotherham	16	1	4	11	-21	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	8	6	1	1	+13	19
2	Huddersfield	7	6	1	0	+6	19
3	Newcastle	8	6	0	2	+9	18
4	Norwich	8	5	1	2	+5	16
5	Bristol City	7	5	1	1	+5	16
6	Birmingham	8	4	3	1	+5	15
7	Reading	8	4	3	1	+4	15
8	Sheffield Weds	8	5	0	3	+1	15
9	Brentford	8	4	2	2	+7	14
10	Aston Villa	8	3	5	0	+5	14
11	Burton Albion	8	4	2	2	+5	14
12	Nott'm Forest	8	4	2	2	+4	14
13	Leeds	8	4	2	2	+3	14
14	Ipswich	8	3	4	1	+4	13
15	Preston	8	4	0	4	+4	12
16	Barnsley	8	3	2	3	+2	11
17	Fulham	8	2	3	3	+0	9
18	Wigan	8	2	3	3	-1	9
19	Derby	8	2	3	3	-1	9
20	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	-2	9
21	QPR	8	2	3	3	-6	9
22	Wolves	8	2	2	4	-3	8
23	Cardiff	8	2	1	5	-6	7
24	Rotherham	8	1	3	4	-4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Fulham	8	4	3	1	+5	15
3	Reading	8	4	1	3	-2	13
4	Brighton	7	3	3	1	+1	12
5	Leeds	8	4	0	4	-1	12
6	QPR	8	3	2	3	+1	11
7	Derby	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Preston	8	3	2	3	-2	11
9	Norwich	8	3	2	3	-4	11
10	Barnsley	8	3	1	4	+1	10
11	Birmingham	8	2	4	2	-2	10
12	Huddersfield	8	3	1	4	-6	10
13	Wolves	8	2	3	3	+1	9
14	Bristol City	8	2	2	4	+1	8
15	Brentford	8	2	2	4	-2	8
16	Cardiff	8	2	2	4	-5	8
17	Ipswich	8	2	2	4	-5	8
18	Aston Villa	8	1	4	3	-4	7
19	Sheffield Weds	7	1	3	3	-4	6
20	Wigan	8	1	2	5	-4	5
21	Burton Albion	8	0	4	4	-7	4
22	Blackburn	8	1	1	6	-7	4
23	Nott'm Forest	8	0	2	6	-9	2
24	Rotherham	8	0	1	7	-17	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.