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Championship
Referee: Roger East
Aston Villa
T U S S U
2–1
Full-time
Blackburn
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Championship · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
27%
53%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aston Villa 16. · Blackburn 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 15 11 1 3 +20 34
2 Brighton 15 9 4 2 +14 31
3 Huddersfield 14 9 1 4 +0 28
4 Norwich 15 8 3 4 +2 27
5 Reading 15 7 4 4 -1 25
6 Bristol City 15 7 3 5 +6 24
7 Fulham 16 6 6 4 +5 24
8 Birmingham 15 6 6 3 +3 24
9 Leeds 15 7 2 6 +1 23
10 Brentford 16 6 4 6 +5 22
11 Sheffield Weds 14 6 3 5 -2 21
12 Barnsley 15 6 2 7 +3 20
13 Preston 15 6 2 7 +0 20
14 Derby 16 5 5 6 -1 20
15 QPR 15 5 4 6 -5 19
16 Aston Villa 15 3 9 3 +0 18
17 Ipswich 15 4 6 5 -2 18
18 Wolves 16 4 5 7 -2 17
19 Burton Albion 15 4 5 6 -2 17
20 Nott'm Forest 15 4 3 8 -5 15
21 Cardiff 15 4 3 8 -10 15
22 Wigan 15 3 5 7 -2 14
23 Blackburn 15 3 4 8 -8 13
24 Rotherham 15 1 4 10 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aston Villa Blackburn
Nathan Baker 🟨
24′
31′
🔁 D. Graham
↦ M. Emnes
Half-time 0–1
54′
S. Gallagher 0–1
C. Mulgrew
1–1 J. Kodjia
58′
Ross McCormack 🟨
62′
66′
🟨 Danny Guthrie
66′
🔁 L. Feeney
↦ C. Conway
G. Agbonlahor 🔁
↦ R. McCormack
68′
2–1 J. Kodjia
M. Jedinak
70′
A. Westwood 🔁
↦ J. Kodjia
74′
78′
🔁 H. Akpan
↦ D. Guthrie
86′
🟨 Hope Akpan
T. Elphick 🔁
↦ J. Grealish
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
1 P. Gollini G
21 A. Hutton D
12 J. Chester D
2 N. Baker D
23 J. Amavi D
25 M. Jedinak M
37 A. Adomah M
22 G. Gardner M
40 J. Grealish M
44 R. McCormack F
26 J. Kodjia F
Bench (7)
11 G. Agbonlahor
15 A. Westwood
6 T. Elphick
8 A. Tshibola
14 R. Gestede
28 A. Cissokho
31 M. Bunn

Coach: S. Bruce

Blackburn

4-4-2
1 J. Steele G
3 G. Greer D
14 C. Mulgrew D
32 C. Conway M
23 D. Guthrie M
10 B. Marshall M
29 C. Evans M
26 D. Lenihan D
6 J. Lowe M
17 M. Emnes F
19 S. Gallagher F
Bench (7)
12 D. Graham
7 L. Feeney
21 H. Akpan
8 J. Byrne
11 M. Samuelsen
31 E. Bennett
33 David Raya

Coach: O. Coyle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Roger East · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.