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Bundesliga
Referee: Jochen Drees
0–2
Full-time
Augsburg
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Ingolstadt 04 Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 11%
0%
22%
Points per game
0,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
2,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 6
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Ingolstadt 04 17. · Augsburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 9 7 2 0 +18 23
2 RB Leipzig 9 6 3 0 +11 21
3 Hertha 10 6 2 2 +7 20
4 Hoffenheim 9 5 4 0 +7 19
5 FC Koln 9 5 3 1 +10 18
6 Dortmund 9 4 3 2 +10 15
7 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 3 2 +5 15
8 Freiburg 9 5 0 4 +0 15
9 Mainz 9 4 2 3 +1 14
10 Leverkusen 9 4 1 4 +0 13
11 M'gladbach 10 3 3 4 -5 12
12 Schalke 04 9 2 2 5 -1 8
13 Augsburg 9 2 2 5 -6 8
14 Darmstadt 9 2 2 5 -9 8
15 Werder Bremen 9 2 1 6 -13 7
16 Wolfsburg 9 1 3 5 -7 6
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 9 0 2 7 -12 2
18 Hamburg 9 0 2 7 -16 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Ingolstadt 04 Augsburg
Stefan Lex 🟨
12′
Half-time 0–0
D. Lezcano 🔁
↦ L. Hinterseer
46′
62′
🟨 Philipp Max
75′
🔁 Halil Altıntop
↦ J. Schmid
M. Hartmann 🔁
↦ S. Lex
78′
S. Kittel 🔁
↦ A. Cohen
78′
80′
🔁 R. Bobadilla
↦ P. Max
Romain Brégerie 🟨
84′
85′
R. Bobadilla 0–1
Tobias Levels 🟥
88′
90′
Halil Altıntop 0–2
91′
🔁 G. Kačar
↦ Ja-Cheol Koo
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

FC Ingolstadt 04

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hansen G
28 T. Levels D
34 M. Matip D
29 M. Suttner D
18 R. Brégerie D
8 Roger M
36 A. Cohen M
10 P. Groß F
16 L. Hinterseer F
7 M. Leckie M
14 S. Lex F
Bench (7)
11 D. Lezcano
9 M. Hartmann
21 S. Kittel
1 Ø. Nyland
3 A. Jung
31 M. Multhaup
32 M. Tisserand

Coach: M. Kauczinski

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
2 P. Verhaegh D
16 C. Janker D
36 M. Hinteregger D
3 K. Stafylidis D
31 P. Max D
10 D. Baier M
11 J. Schmid M
19 Ja-Cheol Koo M
21 D. Kohr M
22 Dong-Won Ji M
Bench (7)
7 Halil Altıntop
25 R. Bobadilla
20 G. Kačar
1 A. Luthe
14 J. Morávek
28 G. Teigl
39 T. Usami

Coach: D. Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jochen Drees · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.