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Premier League
Referee: Mark Clattenburg
West Brom
T U
2–3
Full-time
Chelsea
U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,5
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,5
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,5
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match West Brom 19. · Chelsea 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leicester 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Man United 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Man City 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Crystal Palace 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Swansea 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Everton 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Norwich 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 West Ham 3 1 0 2 +0 3
10 Bournemouth 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Aston Villa 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Arsenal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Watford 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Tottenham 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Stoke 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Newcastle 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Chelsea 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Southampton 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 West Brom 2 0 1 1 -3 1
20 Sunderland 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Chelsea
17′
🟨 Nemanja Matić
20′
⚽ Pedro 0–1
E. Hazard
30′
⚽ Diego Costa 0–2
1–2 J. Morrison ⚽
S. Rondón
35′
James McClean 🟨
37′
42′
⚽ Azpilicueta 1–3
Diego Costa
Half-time 1–3
54′
🟥 John Terry
56′
🔁 G. Cahill
↦ Willian
2–3 J. Morrison ⚽
C. McManaman
59′
R. Lambert 🔁
↦ J. McClean
60′
Callum McManaman 🟨
71′
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ C. McManaman
78′
78′
🔁 R. Falcao
↦ Diego Costa
84′
🔁 J. Obi Mikel
↦ Pedro
C. Gardner 🔁
↦ J. Morrison
88′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

West Brom

13 G. Myhill G
3 J. Olsson D
23 G. McAuley D
25 C. Dawson D
7 J. Morrison M
24 D. Fletcher M
5 C. Yacob M
11 C. Brunt D
14 J. McClean M
33 S. Rondón F
19 C. McManaman M
Bench (7)
17 R. Lambert
31 S. Gnabry
8 C. Gardner
4 J. Chester
6 J. Lescott
10 V. Anichebe
38 J. Rose

Chelsea

13 T. Courtois G
26 J. Terry D
2 B. Ivanović D
28 Azpilicueta D
5 K. Zouma D
4 Fàbregas M
22 Willian M
21 N. Matić M
10 E. Hazard M
19 Diego Costa F
17 Pedro M
Bench (7)
24 G. Cahill
9 R. Falcao
12 J. Obi Mikel
1 A. Begović
14 B. Traore
18 L. Rémy
36 R. Loftus-Cheek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Mark Clattenburg · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
9,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.