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Premier League
Referee: Michael Oliver
Brighton
S S T T U
0–2
Full-time
Man City
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

21% Possession 79%
6 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 10
6 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Brighton Man City
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ I. Brown
24′
29′
🟨 Gabriel Jesus
Half-time 0–0
G. Murray 🔁
↦ T. Hemed
60′
68′
🔁 L. Sané
↦ Danilo
70′
⚽ S. Agüero 0–1
David Silva
A. Knockaert 🔁
↦ S. March
75′
75′
⚽ L. Dunk 1–1
own goal
78′
🔁 R. Sterling
↦ Gabriel Jesus
82′
🟨 Raheem Sterling
83′
🔁 Bernardo Silva
↦ S. Agüero
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brighton

4-4-2
1 M. Ryan G
2 Bruno Saltor D
29 M. Suttner D
22 S. Duffy D
5 L. Dunk D
6 D. Stephens M
13 P. Groß F
24 D. Pröpper M
20 S. March M
10 T. Hemed F
37 I. Brown M
Bench (7)
15 J. Murphy
17 G. Murray
11 A. Knockaert
4 U. Hünemeier
12 N. Mäenpää
14 S. Sidwell
23 L. Rosenior

Coach: C. Hughton

Man City

3-1-4-2
31 Ederson Moraes G
4 V. Kompany D
30 N. Otamendi D
2 K. Walker M
3 Danilo M
5 J. Stones D
21 David Silva M
25 Fernandinho M
17 K. De Bruyne M
10 S. Agüero F
33 Gabriel Jesus F
Bench (7)
19 L. Sané
7 R. Sterling
20 Bernardo Silva
1 C. Bravo
15 E. Mangala
42 Y. Touré
47 P. Foden

Coach: Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.