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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Everton
U S
0–2
Full-time
Man City
S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+3,0
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Everton 7. · Man City 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leicester 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Man United 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Man City 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Crystal Palace 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Swansea 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Everton 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Norwich 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 -2 4
10 West Ham 3 1 0 2 +0 3
11 Bournemouth 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Aston Villa 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Arsenal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Watford 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Tottenham 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Stoke 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Newcastle 3 0 2 1 -2 2
18 Southampton 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Sunderland 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 West Brom 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Everton Man City
42′
🟨 Eliaquim Mangala
45′
🟨 Fernandinho
Half-time 0–0
T. Browning 🔁
↦ B. Galloway
47′
60′
⚽ A. Kolarov 0–1
R. Sterling
S. Naismith 🔁
↦ A. Koné
64′
76′
🔁 S. Nasri
↦ R. Sterling
81′
🔁 W. Bony
↦ S. Agüero
86′
🟨 Samir Nasri
Deulofeu 🔁
↦ T. Cleverley
86′
88′
⚽ S. Nasri 0–2
Y. Touré
90′
🔁 F. Delph
↦ David Silva
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Everton

24 T. Howard G
6 P. Jagielka D
23 S. Coleman D
5 J. Stones D
32 B. Galloway D
18 G. Barry M
16 J. McCarthy M
15 T. Cleverley M
20 R. Barkley M
9 A. Koné M
10 R. Lukaku F
Bench (7)
27 T. Browning
14 S. Naismith
19 Deulofeu
1 Joel Robles
11 K. Mirallas
17 M. Bešić
21 L. Osman

Man City

1 J. Hart G
3 B. Sagna D
4 V. Kompany D
11 A. Kolarov D
20 E. Mangala D
21 David Silva M
42 Y. Touré M
15 Jesús Navas M
25 Fernandinho M
7 R. Sterling M
10 S. Agüero F
Bench (7)
8 S. Nasri
14 W. Bony
18 F. Delph
13 W. Caballero
26 M. Demichelis
28 J. Denayer
72 K. Iheanacho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.