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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Girona

T T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Sevilla

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,5

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 36%

24%

47%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

41%

50%

Both score Ø 49%

50%

47%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

5 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Girona 18. · Sevilla 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	35	25	8	2	+54	83
2	Ath Madrid	35	22	8	5	+29	74
3	Real Madrid	34	20	5	9	+21	65
4	Sevilla	34	16	7	11	+17	55
5	Getafe	34	14	13	7	+14	55
6	Valencia	35	12	16	7	+8	52
7	Ath Bilbao	35	12	14	9	-3	50
8	Alaves	35	12	11	12	-9	47
9	Eibar	35	10	13	12	-4	43
10	Espanol	34	11	10	13	-9	43
11	Betis	34	12	7	15	-10	43
12	Leganes	35	10	12	13	-6	42
13	Sociedad	34	10	11	13	-3	41
14	Villarreal	34	9	12	13	-3	39
15	Celta	35	9	10	16	-9	37
16	Levante	35	9	10	16	-11	37
17	Valladolid	35	8	11	16	-19	35
18	Girona	34	8	10	16	-13	34
19	Huesca	34	6	11	17	-18	29
20	Vallecano	34	7	7	20	-26	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	18	15	2	1	+22	47
2	Barcelona	18	14	3	1	+32	45
3	Real Madrid	17	12	1	4	+18	37
4	Sevilla	17	11	3	3	+20	36
5	Getafe	17	10	2	5	+13	32
6	Ath Bilbao	18	8	8	2	+5	32
7	Espanol	17	9	3	5	+1	30
8	Eibar	17	8	5	4	+9	29
9	Leganes	18	7	8	3	+5	29
10	Valencia	18	6	10	2	+10	28
11	Alaves	17	6	8	3	+0	26
12	Celta	17	7	4	6	+4	25
13	Betis	17	7	4	6	-2	25
14	Sociedad	17	5	6	6	+0	21
15	Levante	17	5	6	6	-3	21
16	Villarreal	17	4	7	6	+1	19
17	Huesca	17	4	6	7	-3	18
18	Vallecano	17	4	6	7	-7	18
19	Valladolid	17	4	5	8	-9	17
20	Girona	17	2	6	9	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	11	5	1	+22	38
2	Real Madrid	17	8	4	5	+3	28
3	Ath Madrid	17	7	6	4	+7	27
4	Valencia	17	6	6	5	-2	24
5	Getafe	17	4	11	2	+1	23
6	Girona	17	6	4	7	-2	22
7	Alaves	18	6	3	9	-9	21
8	Sociedad	17	5	5	7	-3	20
9	Villarreal	17	5	5	7	-4	20
10	Sevilla	17	5	4	8	-3	19
11	Betis	17	5	3	9	-8	18
12	Ath Bilbao	17	4	6	7	-8	18
13	Valladolid	18	4	6	8	-10	18
14	Levante	18	4	4	10	-8	16
15	Eibar	18	2	8	8	-13	14
16	Espanol	17	2	7	8	-10	13
17	Leganes	17	3	4	10	-11	13
18	Celta	18	2	6	10	-13	12
19	Huesca	17	2	5	10	-15	11
20	Vallecano	17	3	1	13	-19	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.