Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Leicester
Arsenal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
36 | 28 | 7 | 1 | +64 | 91 |
| 2 |
Man City
|
35 | 29 | 2 | 4 | +67 | 89 |
| 3 |
Tottenham
|
36 | 23 | 1 | 12 | +29 | 70 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | +21 | 67 |
| 5 |
Arsenal
|
35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | +23 | 66 |
| 6 |
Man United
|
35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | +13 | 64 |
| 7 |
Wolves
|
36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 54 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | +6 | 50 |
| 9 |
Watford
|
36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | -1 | 50 |
| 10 |
Leicester
|
35 | 14 | 6 | 15 | +1 | 48 |
| 11 |
West Ham
|
36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 46 |
| 12 |
Crystal Palace
|
36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | -5 | 43 |
| 13 |
Newcastle
|
36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | -9 | 42 |
| 14 |
Bournemouth
|
36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 |
Burnley
|
35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | -18 | 40 |
| 16 |
Southampton
|
36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -17 | 38 |
| 17 |
Brighton
|
36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 |
Cardiff
|
36 | 9 | 4 | 23 | -36 | 31 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | -42 | 26 |
| 20 |
Huddersfield
|
36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | -54 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
H. Maguire
D
B. Chilwell
D
Y. Tielemans
M
W. Ndidi
M
J. Maddison
M
H. Choudhury
M
J. Vardy
F
Coach: B. Rodgers
B. Leno
G
S. Kolašinac
D
H. Mkhitaryan
M
G. Xhaka
M
A. Iwobi
M
A. Maitland-Niles
D
L. Torreira
M
P. Aubameyang
F
Coach: Unai Emery
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
West Ham
Leicester
Leicester
Newcastle
Huddersfield
Leicester
Leicester
Bournemouth
Burnley
Leicester
Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.