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Ligue 1

Referee: Amaury Delerue

Lille

T S U S U

5–0

Full-time

Nimes

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Nimes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 49%

58%

39%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

52%

58%

Both score Ø 52%

52%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 2. · Nimes 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	33	27	3	3	+68	84
2	Lille	33	19	8	6	+26	65
3	Lyon	34	18	8	8	+15	62
4	St Etienne	33	16	8	9	+13	56
5	Marseille	33	16	6	11	+8	54
6	Montpellier	33	13	12	8	+10	51
7	Reims	33	11	15	7	-2	48
8	Nice	33	13	9	11	-7	48
9	Nimes	33	13	7	13	+1	46
10	Strasbourg	33	10	14	9	+12	44
11	Rennes	33	11	10	12	-1	43
12	Angers	33	9	14	10	+0	41
13	Nantes	33	11	7	15	-3	40
14	Bordeaux	34	9	11	14	-6	38
15	Toulouse	33	8	12	13	-16	36
16	Monaco	33	7	11	15	-17	32
17	Amiens	33	8	8	17	-20	32
18	Dijon	33	7	7	19	-23	28
19	Caen	33	5	11	17	-22	26
20	Guingamp	33	5	9	19	-36	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	16	1	0	+49	49
2	Lyon	17	11	3	3	+15	36
3	St Etienne	16	11	2	3	+16	35
4	Lille	16	10	4	2	+20	34
5	Marseille	16	10	4	2	+17	34
6	Nimes	17	8	5	4	+10	29
7	Nantes	17	8	4	5	+9	28
8	Reims	17	7	7	3	+4	28
9	Montpellier	16	7	6	3	+10	27
10	Bordeaux	17	7	6	4	+5	27
11	Nice	16	8	3	5	+0	27
12	Rennes	16	7	5	4	+7	26
13	Strasbourg	17	6	7	4	+8	25
14	Angers	16	5	7	4	+3	22
15	Amiens	16	6	3	7	-3	21
16	Toulouse	17	4	8	5	-3	20
17	Dijon	17	4	4	9	-13	16
18	Monaco	17	3	6	8	-11	15
19	Guingamp	17	3	5	9	-11	14
20	Caen	16	2	5	9	-12	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	11	2	3	+19	35
2	Lille	17	9	4	4	+6	31
3	Lyon	17	7	5	5	+0	26
4	Montpellier	17	6	6	5	+0	24
5	St Etienne	17	5	6	6	-3	21
6	Nice	17	5	6	6	-7	21
7	Reims	16	4	8	4	-6	20
8	Marseille	17	6	2	9	-9	20
9	Strasbourg	16	4	7	5	+4	19
10	Angers	17	4	7	6	-3	19
11	Monaco	16	4	5	7	-6	17
12	Rennes	17	4	5	8	-8	17
13	Nimes	16	5	2	9	-9	17
14	Toulouse	16	4	4	8	-13	16
15	Caen	17	3	6	8	-10	15
16	Dijon	16	3	3	10	-10	12
17	Nantes	16	3	3	10	-12	12
18	Bordeaux	17	2	5	10	-11	11
19	Amiens	17	2	5	10	-17	11
20	Guingamp	16	2	4	10	-25	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.