La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Getafe
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
35 | 25 | 8 | 2 | +54 | 83 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | +29 | 74 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +21 | 65 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | +16 | 55 |
| 5 |
Getafe
|
34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | +14 | 55 |
| 6 |
Valencia
|
35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | +8 | 52 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | -3 | 50 |
| 8 |
Alaves
|
35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | -9 | 47 |
| 9 |
Eibar
|
35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | -4 | 43 |
| 10 |
Espanol
|
34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -9 | 43 |
| 11 |
Betis
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 43 |
| 12 |
Leganes
|
35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | -6 | 42 |
| 13 |
Sociedad
|
34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 |
Villarreal
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 |
Celta
|
35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | -9 | 37 |
| 16 |
Levante
|
35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | -11 | 37 |
| 17 |
Girona
|
35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | -12 | 37 |
| 18 |
Valladolid
|
35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | -19 | 35 |
| 19 |
Huesca
|
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -18 | 29 |
| 20 |
Vallecano
|
34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | -26 | 28 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Rulli
G
Aritz Elustondo
D
Ahien Muñoz
D
Mikel Merino
M
Mikel Oyarzabal
M
Ander Barrenetxea
F
Coach: Imanol Alguacil
David Soria
G
L. Cabrera
D
Miquel
D
D. Dakonam
D
M. Olivera
D
Hugo Duro
F
Coach: José Bordalás
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Villarreal
Barcelona
Sociedad
Sociedad
Eibar
Celta
Sociedad
Sociedad
Betis
Eduardo Prieto Iglesias · 39 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.