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Premier League
Referee: Graham Scott
West Ham
U S U U T
2–0
Full-time
Watford
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Watford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 27%
23%
31%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
58%
62%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Ham 12. · Watford 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 26 22 3 1 +55 69
2 Man United 26 17 5 4 +33 56
3 Tottenham 27 15 7 5 +28 52
4 Liverpool 26 14 9 3 +28 51
5 Chelsea 26 15 5 6 +23 50
6 Arsenal 27 13 6 8 +15 45
7 Burnley 26 9 9 8 -2 36
8 Leicester 26 9 8 9 +3 35
9 Bournemouth 26 8 7 11 -7 31
10 Everton 26 8 7 11 -16 31
11 Watford 26 8 6 12 -8 30
12 West Ham 26 6 9 11 -14 27
13 Brighton 26 6 9 11 -14 27
14 Crystal Palace 26 6 9 11 -15 27
15 Southampton 26 5 11 10 -10 26
16 Newcastle 26 6 7 13 -12 25
17 Swansea 26 6 6 14 -18 24
18 Stoke 26 6 6 14 -26 24
19 Huddersfield 26 6 6 14 -27 24
20 West Brom 26 3 11 12 -16 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Ham Watford
1–0 Javier Hernández
M. Antonio
38′
Pablo Zabaleta 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 R. Pereyra
↦ M. Zeegelaar
75′
🔁 D. Lukebakio
↦ Deulofeu
S. Byram 🔁
↦ João Mário
77′
2–0 M. Arnautović
A. Cresswell
78′
82′
🔁 A. Gray
↦ Richarlison
D. Rice 🔁
↦ M. Arnautović
84′
J. Hugill 🔁
↦ Javier Hernández
88′
90′
🟨 Sebastian Prödl
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

West Ham

3-4-3
13 Adrián G
19 J. Collins D
5 P. Zabaleta M
21 A. Ogbonna D
3 A. Cresswell D
16 M. Noble M
8 C. Kouyaté M
30 M. Antonio M
18 João Mário F
7 M. Arnautović F
17 Javier Hernández F
Bench (7)
22 S. Byram
41 D. Rice
12 J. Hugill
4 José Fonte
25 J. Hart
27 P. Evra
33 J. Cullen

Coach: D. Moyes

Watford

3-4-3
30 O. Karnezis G
6 A. Mariappa D
5 S. Prödl D
25 J. Holebas D
2 D. Janmaat M
22 M. Zeegelaar M
29 E. Capoue M
16 A. Doucouré M
9 T. Deeney F
7 Deulofeu F
11 Richarlison F
Bench (7)
37 R. Pereyra
20 D. Lukebakio
18 A. Gray
12 D. Ndong
28 A. Carrillo
35 D. Bachmann
48 J. Mukena

Coach: Javi Gracia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Graham Scott · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.