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Championship
Referee: Robert Jones
Bolton
S S T U S
1–1
Full-time
Fulham
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bolton Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,7
Scored
0,7
3,0
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,3
This season — Championship · 29/28 matches
Win Ø 37%
24%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
41%
46%
Both score Ø 53%
45%
61%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

31% Possession 69%
10 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
4 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bolton 20. · Fulham 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 30 21 5 4 +32 68
2 Derby 29 16 8 5 +24 56
3 Cardiff 30 16 7 7 +18 55
4 Bristol City 30 14 9 7 +9 51
5 Fulham 28 14 8 6 +17 50
6 Aston Villa 27 14 7 6 +17 49
7 Sheffield United 31 15 4 12 +7 49
8 Preston 30 12 12 6 +8 48
9 Middlesbrough 28 13 5 10 +11 44
10 Leeds 31 13 5 13 +3 44
11 Brentford 30 11 10 9 +3 43
12 Ipswich 30 13 4 13 +2 43
13 Norwich 30 12 7 11 -3 43
14 Millwall 31 9 12 10 +2 39
15 QPR 30 9 9 12 -10 36
16 Nott'm Forest 30 11 2 17 -13 35
17 Sheffield Weds 31 7 13 11 -6 34
18 Reading 30 8 8 14 -6 32
19 Birmingham 30 8 6 16 -19 30
20 Bolton 29 7 8 14 -19 29
21 Barnsley 31 6 10 15 -15 28
22 Hull 30 5 11 14 -7 26
23 Sunderland 30 5 10 15 -21 25
24 Burton Albion 30 6 6 18 -34 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bolton Fulham
4′
M. Targett 0–1
Lucas Piazon
Mark Little 🟨
17′
Karl Henry 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
51′
🔁 A. Mitrović
↦ Rui Fonte
51′
🔁 A. Kamara
↦ Lucas Piazon
A. Le Fondre 🔁
↦ Z. Clough
59′
Filipe Morais 🔁
↦ M. Little
59′
60′
🟨 Stefan Johansen
1–1 A. Le Fondre
A. Robinson
61′
74′
🔁 T. Cairney
↦ O. Norwood
T. Walker 🔁
↦ Sammy Ameobi
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bolton

3-5-2
13 B. Alnwick G
31 D. Wheater D
4 D. Dervite D
2 M. Little D
5 M. Beevers D
17 Derik Osede M
15 A. Robinson D
24 K. Henry M
10 Sammy Ameobi M
6 J. Vela M
40 Z. Clough F
Bench (7)
9 A. Le Fondre
22 Filipe Morais
19 T. Walker
3 A. Taylor
14 J. Flanagan
32 R. Burke
33 M. Howard

Coach: J. Phillips

Fulham

4-2-3-1
1 M. Bettinelli G
13 T. Ream D
26 T. Kalas D
21 M. Targett D
3 R. Sessegnon D
8 S. Johansen M
6 K. McDonald M
16 O. Norwood M
2 R. Fredericks D
9 Rui Fonte F
20 Lucas Piazon F
Bench (7)
32 A. Mitrović
47 A. Kamara
10 T. Cairney
4 D. Odoi
11 F. Ayité
22 C. Christie
27 D. Button

Coach: S. Jokanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Jones · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.