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Championship
Referee: Andy Madley
2–1
Full-time
Leeds
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Championship · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 45%
47%
43%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield United 8. · Leeds 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 30 21 5 4 +32 68
2 Derby 29 16 8 5 +24 56
3 Cardiff 30 16 7 7 +18 55
4 Bristol City 30 14 9 7 +9 51
5 Fulham 28 14 8 6 +17 50
6 Aston Villa 27 14 7 6 +17 49
7 Preston 30 12 12 6 +8 48
8 Sheffield United 30 14 4 12 +6 46
9 Middlesbrough 28 13 5 10 +11 44
10 Leeds 30 13 5 12 +4 44
11 Brentford 30 11 10 9 +3 43
12 Ipswich 30 13 4 13 +2 43
13 Norwich 30 12 7 11 -3 43
14 Millwall 31 9 12 10 +2 39
15 QPR 30 9 9 12 -10 36
16 Nott'm Forest 30 11 2 17 -13 35
17 Sheffield Weds 31 7 13 11 -6 34
18 Reading 30 8 8 14 -6 32
19 Birmingham 30 8 6 16 -19 30
20 Bolton 29 7 8 14 -19 29
21 Barnsley 31 6 10 15 -15 28
22 Hull 30 5 11 14 -7 26
23 Sunderland 30 5 10 15 -21 25
24 Burton Albion 30 6 6 18 -34 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Leeds
1–0 B. Sharp
2′
5′
🟨 Adam Forshaw
Billy Sharp 🟨
14′
19′
🟨 Kemar Roofe
Lee Evans 🟨
44′
45′
🔁 Pablo Hernández
↦ K. Roofe
Half-time 1–1
47′
P. Lasogga 1–1
Pablo Hernández
2–1 B. Sharp
73′
75′
🔁 H. Sacko
↦ E. Alioski
R. Leonard 🔁
↦ M. Duffy
77′
78′
🔁 C. Ekuban
↦ K. Phillips
J. Lundstram 🔁
↦ L. Evans
88′
John Fleck 🟨
90′
R. Holmes 🔁
↦ B. Sharp
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sheffield United

3-5-2
27 J. Blackman G
19 R. Stearman D
6 C. Basham D
3 E. Stevens M
2 G. Baldock M
5 J. O'Connell D
4 J. Fleck M
21 M. Duffy M
20 L. Evans M
9 L. Clarke F
10 B. Sharp F
Bench (7)
14 R. Leonard
7 J. Lundstram
26 R. Holmes
11 C. Donaldson
12 J. Wilson
24 D. Lafferty
31 J. Eastwood

Coach: C. Wilder

Leeds

4-3-3
13 F. Wiedwald G
12 L. De Bock D
18 P. Jansson D
5 M. Pennington D
14 E. O'Kane M
4 A. Forshaw M
15 S. Dallas M
7 K. Roofe F
23 K. Phillips M
9 P. Lasogga F
10 E. Alioski M
Bench (7)
19 Pablo Hernández
24 H. Sacko
45 C. Ekuban
1 A. Lonergan
8 V. Anita
22 P. Cibicki
25 R. Vieira Nan

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Madley · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.