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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

Sparta Rotterdam

T T T S T

1–2

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

0,7

2,3

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+2,0

This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 50%

14%

86%

Points per game

0,6

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

55%

68%

Both score Ø 45%

45%

Average goals

2,8

3,6

Scored

0,8

2,6

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

10 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

4 Free kicks against 8

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 18. · PSV Eindhoven 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	22	19	1	2	+36	58
2	Ajax	22	16	3	3	+43	51
3	AZ Alkmaar	22	14	4	4	+21	46
4	Feyenoord	22	11	6	5	+23	39
5	Zwolle	23	11	6	6	+1	39
6	Utrecht	21	9	7	5	-1	34
7	Vitesse	19	8	6	5	+10	30
8	Heerenveen	21	8	6	7	-2	30
9	VVV Venlo	22	7	8	7	-5	29
10	Den Haag	20	8	4	8	-3	28
11	Heracles	23	7	6	10	-16	27
12	Excelsior	22	7	4	11	-7	25
13	Groningen	22	5	7	10	-5	22
14	Willem II	23	5	5	13	-14	20
15	NAC Breda	22	5	4	13	-14	19
16	Twente	22	4	4	14	-16	16
17	Roda	22	4	4	14	-24	16
18	Sparta Rotterdam	22	3	5	14	-27	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	11	0	0	+22	33
2	Ajax	11	9	0	2	+22	27
3	Heracles	12	7	3	2	+6	24
4	Zwolle	11	7	2	2	+8	23
5	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	1	3	+9	22
6	Feyenoord	11	6	3	2	+11	21
7	Utrecht	11	5	5	1	+2	20
8	Groningen	11	4	5	2	+5	17
9	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	-5	14
11	NAC Breda	11	4	1	6	-6	13
12	Willem II	12	3	3	6	-1	12
13	VVV Venlo	11	3	3	5	-4	12
14	Roda	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Twente	11	3	2	6	-6	11
16	Sparta Rotterdam	11	3	2	6	-11	11
17	Vitesse	8	2	4	2	+2	10
18	Excelsior	11	2	3	6	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	1	2	+14	25
2	Ajax	11	7	3	1	+21	24
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	3	1	+12	24
4	Vitesse	11	6	2	3	+8	20
5	Feyenoord	11	5	3	3	+12	18
6	VVV Venlo	11	4	5	2	-1	17
7	Heerenveen	11	4	4	3	+3	16
8	Excelsior	11	5	1	5	-1	16
9	Zwolle	12	4	4	4	-7	16
10	Utrecht	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Den Haag	9	4	1	4	-4	13
12	Willem II	11	2	2	7	-13	8
13	NAC Breda	11	1	3	7	-8	6
14	Groningen	11	1	2	8	-10	5
15	Twente	11	1	2	8	-10	5
16	Roda	11	1	1	9	-19	4
17	Sparta Rotterdam	11	0	3	8	-16	3
18	Heracles	11	0	3	8	-22	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.