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Premier League

Referee: Andre Marriner

Watford

S T S S S

2–1

Full-time

Tottenham

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Tottenham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,2

This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

2,3

2,7

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%

7 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 10

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Watford 5. · Tottenham 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Chelsea	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Man City	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Tottenham	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Watford	3	3	0	0	+5	9
6	Bournemouth	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Everton	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Leicester	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Arsenal	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Wolves	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Southampton	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Fulham	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Brighton	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Man United	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Crystal Palace	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Cardiff	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Huddersfield	4	0	2	2	-8	2
18	Newcastle	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	West Ham	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Watford	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Everton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Fulham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Man United	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Wolves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Huddersfield	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Man City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Southampton	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Wolves	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Everton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Fulham	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Burnley	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Huddersfield	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.