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Serie A

Referee: Fabio Maresca

Atalanta

U U T S U

0–1

Full-time

Cagliari

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

3,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

10 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 5. · Cagliari 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Spal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Inter	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Roma	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Torino	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Parma	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Frosinone	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Lazio	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Chievo	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Frosinone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Inter	2	1	0	1	+2	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Roma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.