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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Monaco

S S S U T

2–3

Full-time

Marseille

U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

8 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 13. · Marseille 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Dijon	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Toulouse	4	3	0	1	-1	9
4	Lille	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Montpellier	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Lyon	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	St Etienne	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Nimes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Reims	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Caen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Marseille	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Amiens	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Nantes	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	Nice	4	1	1	2	-4	4
18	Angers	4	1	0	3	-3	3
19	Bordeaux	4	1	0	3	-4	3
20	Guingamp	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Angers	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Dijon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Reims	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Caen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Nice	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Nice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Caen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nantes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Reims	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Toulouse	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Lille	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Amiens	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Bordeaux	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.