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Eredivisie
Referee: Joey Kooij
Groningen
U S U T S
0–1
Full-time
Zwolle
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
0,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-2,2
This season — Eredivisie · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 14. · Zwolle 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 1 0 +8 7
3 Ajax 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Feyenoord 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Den Haag 4 2 0 2 +1 6
6 Willem II 4 2 0 2 +0 6
7 VVV Venlo 4 1 2 1 +0 5
8 Heerenveen 4 1 2 1 -1 5
9 Utrecht 4 1 2 1 -2 5
10 De Graafschap 4 1 1 2 -2 4
11 Heracles 3 1 1 1 -3 4
12 Excelsior 4 1 1 2 -3 4
13 FC Emmen 4 1 1 2 -7 4
14 Groningen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 NAC Breda 3 1 0 2 -4 3
16 Vitesse 2 0 2 0 +0 2
17 For Sittard 4 0 2 2 -3 2
18 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Zwolle
30′
🟨 Denis Genreau
34′
🟨 Kenneth Paal
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Scamacca
↦ D. Genreau
52′
🟨 Rick Dekker
53′
🔁 O. Bouy
↦ C. Leemans
J. Pohl 🔁
↦ M. Cassierra
54′
M. Mahi 🔁
↦ M. Breij
63′
64′
V. van Crooij 0–1
Deyovaisio Zeefuik 🟨
70′
C. Antuna 🔁
↦ T. Handwerker
74′
84′
🔁 G. Hamer
↦ Y. Namli
Mimoun Mahi 🟨
85′
Ritsu Doan 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Thomas Lam
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
4 M. te Wierik D
5 S. Memišević D
21 D. Warmerdam D
42 D. Zeefuik D
29 T. Handwerker D
23 A. Hrustic M
7 R. Doan M
6 L. Reis M
9 M. Cassierra F
22 M. Breij F
Bench (10)
11 J. Pohl
10 M. Mahi
14 C. Antuna
24 J. Chabot
36 T. van de Looi
31 J. Hoekstra
12 L. Kramer
18 A. Mendes Moreira
45 P. Boevink
20 A. Absalem

Coach: D. Buijs

Zwolle

4-3-3
16 M. van der Hart G
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
20 K. Ehizibue D
33 S. van den Berg D
8 C. Leemans M
21 Y. Namli F
19 R. Dekker M
17 D. Genreau M
9 M. van Duinen F
7 V. van Crooij F
Bench (9)
10 G. Scamacca
34 O. Bouy
6 G. Hamer
14 Z. Flemming
40 M. Hauptmeijer
23 D. Bouzanis
25 S. Elbers
29 D. Lachman
2 B. van Polen

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Joey Kooij · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.