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Referee: Nathan Verboomen

Cercle Brugge

U S U S T

0–3

Full-time

Gent

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Gent

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 62%

40%

83%

Points per game

1,6

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

40%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,2

This season — Pro League · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 58%

40%

75%

Points per game

1,6

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

40%

75%

Both score Ø 70%

40%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

7 Corners 5

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cercle Brugge 8. · Gent 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Club Brugge	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Anderlecht	4	4	0	0	+9	12
4	Gent	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Antwerp	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Oostende	6	3	0	3	-2	9
7	Standard	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Cercle Brugge	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	St Truiden	6	1	4	1	+0	7
10	Charleroi	6	2	0	4	-1	6
11	Eupen	6	2	0	4	-9	6
12	Waregem	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Kortrijk	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Lokeren	6	1	1	4	-8	4
15	Beveren	6	0	3	3	-5	3
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	0	0	6	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Genk	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Oostende	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Waregem	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Standard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Charleroi	4	1	0	3	-2	3
12	Eupen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Lokeren	3	1	0	2	-6	3
14	Beveren	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	0	0	3	-3	0
16	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Standard	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Kortrijk	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Oostende	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Eupen	3	1	0	2	-6	3
11	St Truiden	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Cercle Brugge	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Lokeren	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Waregem	3	0	1	2	-4	1
15	Beveren	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.