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Premier League
Referee: Michael Oliver
Fulham
T T T T T
3–2
Full-time
Southampton
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
0,5
0,3
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,5
-1,7
This season — Premier League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 8%
8%
8%
Points per game
0,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
42%
Average goals
3,5
2,4
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
2,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 20. · Southampton 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 12 10 2 0 +31 32
2 Liverpool 12 9 3 0 +18 30
3 Chelsea 12 8 4 0 +19 28
4 Tottenham 12 9 0 3 +10 27
5 Arsenal 12 7 3 2 +11 24
6 Bournemouth 12 6 2 4 +5 20
7 Watford 12 6 2 4 +3 20
8 Man United 12 6 2 4 -1 20
9 Everton 12 5 4 3 +4 19
10 Leicester 12 5 2 5 +1 17
11 Wolves 12 4 4 4 -1 16
12 Brighton 12 4 2 6 -5 14
13 West Ham 12 3 3 6 -4 12
14 Newcastle 12 2 3 7 -6 9
15 Burnley 12 2 3 7 -13 9
16 Crystal Palace 12 2 2 8 -9 8
17 Southampton 12 1 5 6 -13 8
18 Cardiff 12 2 2 8 -14 8
19 Huddersfield 12 1 4 7 -16 7
20 Fulham 12 1 2 9 -20 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fulham Southampton
18′
S. Armstrong 0–1
1–1 A. Mitrović
M. Le Marchand
33′
2–1 A. Schürrle
R. Sessegnon
43′
Alfie Mawson 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–2
53′
S. Armstrong 2–2
Cédric Soares
3–2 A. Mitrović
R. Sessegnon
63′
68′
🟨 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
S. Johansen 🔁
↦ J. Seri
68′
68′
🔁 M. Elyounoussi
↦ C. Austin
73′
🟨 Wesley Hoedt
A. Kamara 🔁
↦ A. Schürrle
74′
81′
🔁 M. Obafemi
↦ S. Armstrong
F. Ayité 🔁
↦ A. Mitrović
86′
Stefan Johansen 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Michael Obafemi
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Fulham

4-2-3-1
25 Sergio Rico G
4 D. Odoi D
20 M. Le Marchand D
22 C. Christie D
5 C. Chambers M
26 A. Mawson D
14 A. Schürrle M
10 T. Cairney M
24 J. Seri M
3 R. Sessegnon M
9 A. Mitrović F
Bench (7)
8 S. Johansen
47 A. Kamara
11 F. Ayité
1 M. Bettinelli
7 N. Kebano
13 T. Ream
23 J. Bryan

Coach: C. Ranieri

Southampton

4-2-3-1
1 A. McCarthy G
3 M. Yoshida D
2 Cédric Soares D
6 W. Hoedt D
33 M. Targett D
17 S. Armstrong M
22 N. Redmond M
18 M. Lemina M
23 P. Højbjerg M
10 C. Austin F
20 M. Gabbiadini M
Bench (7)
11 M. Elyounoussi
61 M. Obafemi
4 J. Vestergaard
5 J. Stephens
8 S. Davis
16 J. Ward-Prowse
28 A. Gunn

Coach: M. Hughes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.