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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

NAC Breda

T U U S T

0–3

Full-time

Ajax

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,8

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,7

4,0

Scored

1,0

3,8

Conceded

1,7

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+3,7

This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,7

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,1

3,1

Conceded

2,3

0,4

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+2,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

26% Possession 74%

5 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 4

7 Free kicks against 6

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match NAC Breda 18. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	12	0	0	+38	36
2	Ajax	12	10	1	1	+32	31
3	Feyenoord	11	7	2	2	+9	23
4	Heracles	12	6	2	4	+1	20
5	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	3	4	+4	18
6	VVV Venlo	11	5	3	3	+2	18
7	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	Heerenveen	12	3	5	4	-3	14
9	For Sittard	12	3	4	5	-1	13
10	Willem II	12	3	4	5	-3	13
11	FC Emmen	12	3	4	5	-12	13
12	Vitesse	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Den Haag	12	3	3	6	-11	12
14	Excelsior	12	3	3	6	-13	12
15	Zwolle	12	3	2	7	-9	11
16	Groningen	11	3	1	7	-7	10
17	De Graafschap	12	3	1	8	-14	10
18	NAC Breda	12	2	2	8	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+23	18
2	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+18	16
3	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Heracles	6	5	0	1	+9	15
5	Utrecht	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	VVV Venlo	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	3	1	+5	9
8	De Graafschap	7	3	0	4	-4	9
9	For Sittard	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Excelsior	7	2	2	3	-7	8
11	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	NAC Breda	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-6	7
14	FC Emmen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Willem II	5	1	2	2	+3	5
16	Zwolle	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Groningen	6	1	1	4	-3	4
18	Heerenveen	6	0	3	3	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+15	18
2	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+14	15
3	Heerenveen	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	0	3	-1	9
5	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	-1	8
6	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
7	Willem II	7	2	2	3	-6	8
8	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-6	7
9	FC Emmen	6	2	1	3	-10	7
10	Groningen	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Vitesse	6	1	2	3	-2	5
12	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Den Haag	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Heracles	6	1	2	3	-8	5
16	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	De Graafschap	5	0	1	4	-10	1
18	NAC Breda	6	0	1	5	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.