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Pro League

Referee: Nathan Verboomen

Genk

U S S S U

1–2

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,0

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

This season — Pro League · 10/15 matches

Win Ø 52%

70%

33%

Points per game

2,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

70%

53%

Both score Ø 57%

60%

53%

Average goals

3,7

2,9

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

71% Possession 29%

19 Shots 4

11 Shots on target 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

12 Corners 4

7 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Genk 2. · Cercle Brugge 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	10	8	1	1	+10	25
2	Genk	10	7	3	0	+17	24
3	St Truiden	15	6	6	3	+6	24
4	Club Brugge	11	7	2	2	+16	23
5	Anderlecht	10	7	2	1	+12	23
6	Gent	10	7	1	2	+12	22
7	Charleroi	15	6	2	7	+0	20
8	Standard	11	5	4	2	+8	19
9	Kortrijk	16	5	4	7	-5	19
10	Cercle Brugge	15	5	4	6	-8	19
11	Oostende	16	5	3	8	-13	18
12	Eupen	16	5	1	10	-15	16
13	Waregem	16	4	3	9	-10	15
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	16	3	4	9	-10	13
15	Beveren	16	1	8	7	-7	11
16	Lokeren	15	2	4	9	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	5	1	1	+13	16
2	Cercle Brugge	8	5	1	2	+1	16
3	St Truiden	7	4	3	0	+6	15
4	Charleroi	8	5	0	3	+2	15
5	Genk	5	4	1	0	+8	13
6	Antwerp	5	4	1	0	+8	13
7	Gent	6	4	1	1	+6	13
8	Anderlecht	5	3	2	0	+7	11
9	Waregem	8	3	2	3	+2	11
10	Oostende	8	3	1	4	-5	10
11	Eupen	8	3	0	5	-5	9
12	Standard	4	2	2	0	+4	8
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Lokeren	7	2	2	3	-6	8
15	Beveren	8	0	5	3	-3	5
16	Kortrijk	7	1	2	4	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kortrijk	9	4	2	3	+1	14
2	Anderlecht	5	4	0	1	+5	12
3	Antwerp	5	4	0	1	+2	12
4	Genk	5	3	2	0	+9	11
5	Standard	7	3	2	2	+4	11
6	Gent	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	St Truiden	8	2	3	3	+0	9
8	Oostende	8	2	2	4	-8	8
9	Club Brugge	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Eupen	8	2	1	5	-10	7
11	Beveren	8	1	3	4	-4	6
12	Charleroi	7	1	2	4	-2	5
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	1	2	5	-7	5
14	Waregem	8	1	1	6	-12	4
15	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	-9	3
16	Lokeren	8	0	2	6	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.