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Championship
Referee: Graham Scott
Hull
U T S S U
0–2
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Championship · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
24%
35%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
35%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
47%
59%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
7 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
10 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hull 22. · Nott'm Forest 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 17 10 3 4 +8 33
2 West Brom 18 9 4 5 +13 31
3 Middlesbrough 17 8 7 2 +11 31
4 Sheffield United 18 9 4 5 +8 31
5 Derby 16 8 4 4 +8 28
6 Leeds 16 7 6 3 +9 27
7 Nott'm Forest 17 6 9 2 +7 27
8 Swansea 17 7 5 5 +6 26
9 Blackburn 17 6 8 3 -1 26
10 QPR 17 8 2 7 -4 26
11 Aston Villa 17 6 6 5 +4 24
12 Birmingham 17 5 9 3 +3 24
13 Bristol City 17 6 4 7 +1 22
14 Stoke 17 5 7 5 -1 22
15 Brentford 17 5 6 6 +4 21
16 Wigan 17 6 2 9 -7 20
17 Sheffield Weds 17 5 5 7 -9 20
18 Rotherham 18 4 7 7 -9 19
19 Preston 17 4 6 7 -4 18
20 Reading 17 4 4 9 -5 16
21 Millwall 17 4 4 9 -7 16
22 Hull 17 4 4 9 -8 16
23 Bolton 17 4 4 9 -12 16
24 Ipswich 18 1 8 9 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Nott'm Forest
Jackson Irvine 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
K. Stewart 🔁
↦ C. Martin
46′
61′
L. Grabban 0–1
T. Kane 🔁
↦ D. Batty
62′
64′
J. Lolley 0–2
João Carvalho
82′
🔁 B. Osborn
↦ M. Cash
W. Keane 🔁
↦ J. Irvine
86′
86′
🔁 K. Ansarifard
↦ L. Grabban
Fraizer Campbell 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hull

4-4-2
1 D. Marshall G
35 T. Elphick D
2 E. Lichaj D
4 J. de Wijs D
5 R. Burke D
16 J. Irvine M
18 D. Batty M
14 K. Grosicki M
25 F. Campbell F
29 C. Martin F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
6 K. Stewart
17 T. Kane
19 W. Keane
3 O. Mazuch
12 G. Long
28 M. Sheaf
27 R. McKenzie

Coach: N. Adkins

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
1 C. Pantilimon G
20 M. Dawson D
18 J. Robinson D
27 T. Darikwa D
3 Tobias Figueiredo D
24 C. Yacob M
6 J. Colback M
10 João Carvalho M
14 M. Cash M
7 L. Grabban F
23 J. Lolley M
Bench (7)
11 B. Osborn
37 K. Ansarifard
5 A. Guédioura
15 L. Steele
21 S. Janko
31 Gil Dias
44 M. Hefele

Coach: Karanka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Graham Scott · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.