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Premier League

Referee: Chris Kavanagh

Liverpool

S S U S S

1–0

Full-time

Everton

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Everton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

This season — Premier League · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 62%

77%

46%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

46%

62%

Both score Ø 50%

38%

62%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 2. · Everton 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	14	12	2	0	+37	38
2	Liverpool	13	10	3	0	+21	33
3	Chelsea	14	9	4	1	+19	31
4	Arsenal	14	9	3	2	+14	30
5	Tottenham	14	10	0	4	+10	30
6	Everton	13	6	4	3	+5	22
7	Man United	14	6	4	4	-1	22
8	Leicester	14	6	3	5	+3	21
9	Bournemouth	14	6	2	6	+2	20
10	Watford	14	6	2	6	-2	20
11	Brighton	14	5	3	6	-4	18
12	Wolves	14	4	4	6	-4	16
13	West Ham	14	4	3	7	-5	15
14	Crystal Palace	14	3	3	8	-7	12
15	Newcastle	14	3	3	8	-8	12
16	Cardiff	14	3	2	9	-14	11
17	Huddersfield	14	2	4	8	-15	10
18	Southampton	14	1	6	7	-14	9
19	Burnley	14	2	3	9	-16	9
20	Fulham	14	2	2	10	-21	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	8	8	0	0	+25	24
2	Chelsea	8	5	3	0	+10	18
3	Arsenal	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Liverpool	6	5	1	0	+13	16
5	Everton	7	5	1	1	+7	16
6	Watford	7	4	0	3	-1	12
7	Leicester	7	3	2	2	+4	11
8	Bournemouth	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Brighton	6	3	2	1	+2	11
10	Man United	6	3	2	1	+0	11
11	Cardiff	8	3	1	4	-4	10
12	Tottenham	5	3	0	2	+3	9
13	Wolves	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	West Ham	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	Fulham	6	2	1	3	-6	7
16	Newcastle	8	2	0	6	-7	6
17	Southampton	7	0	5	2	-4	5
18	Crystal Palace	7	1	2	4	-4	5
19	Huddersfield	8	1	2	5	-7	5
20	Burnley	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	9	7	0	2	+7	21
2	Liverpool	7	5	2	0	+8	17
3	Man City	6	4	2	0	+12	14
4	Chelsea	6	4	1	1	+9	13
5	Arsenal	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	Man United	8	3	2	3	-1	11
7	Leicester	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	Bournemouth	7	3	0	4	-1	9
9	Watford	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	West Ham	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Wolves	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Crystal Palace	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Brighton	8	2	1	5	-6	7
14	Newcastle	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Everton	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Huddersfield	6	1	2	3	-8	5
17	Burnley	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Southampton	7	1	1	5	-10	4
19	Cardiff	6	0	1	5	-10	1
20	Fulham	8	0	1	7	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.