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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Alaves

S S T S T

1–1

Full-time

Sevilla

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 58%

54%

62%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

54%

62%

Both score Ø 54%

54%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 4

21 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 4. · Sevilla 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	8	4	2	+18	28
2	Sevilla	13	8	2	3	+11	26
3	Ath Madrid	14	6	7	1	+8	25
4	Alaves	13	7	2	4	+4	23
5	Real Madrid	14	7	2	5	+3	23
6	Girona	14	5	6	3	+1	21
7	Espanol	14	6	3	5	+1	21
8	Getafe	14	5	5	4	+4	20
9	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	+1	19
10	Betis	14	5	4	5	-3	19
11	Levante	13	5	3	5	-1	18
12	Eibar	14	5	3	6	-4	18
13	Celta	14	4	5	5	+3	17
14	Valencia	14	3	8	3	+0	17
15	Valladolid	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Leganes	14	4	4	6	-4	16
17	Villarreal	14	3	5	6	-3	14
18	Ath Bilbao	13	1	8	4	-6	11
19	Vallecano	14	2	4	8	-13	10
20	Huesca	14	1	4	9	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	5	2	1	+16	17
2	Ath Madrid	7	5	2	0	+8	17
3	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Sevilla	7	5	1	1	+5	16
5	Espanol	6	5	0	1	+5	15
6	Alaves	6	4	2	0	+4	14
7	Eibar	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Celta	8	3	3	2	+5	12
9	Leganes	6	3	2	1	+2	11
10	Betis	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	Getafe	7	3	1	3	+3	10
12	Girona	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Valencia	7	1	5	1	+2	8
14	Valladolid	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Levante	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-4	7
17	Sociedad	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Villarreal	7	1	3	3	-2	6
19	Vallecano	8	1	3	4	-8	6
20	Huesca	6	0	3	3	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+2	13
2	Girona	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Levante	7	3	2	2	+3	11
4	Barcelona	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+6	10
6	Getafe	7	2	4	1	+1	10
7	Alaves	7	3	0	4	+0	9
8	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	9
9	Valencia	7	2	3	2	-2	9
10	Ath Madrid	7	1	5	1	+0	8
11	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Betis	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Real Madrid	7	2	1	4	-6	7
14	Espanol	8	1	3	4	-4	6
15	Celta	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Leganes	8	1	2	5	-6	5
17	Eibar	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Ath Bilbao	6	0	4	2	-2	4
19	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Huesca	8	1	1	6	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.