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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero

Barcelona

S S S T U

2–0

Full-time

Villarreal

U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,7

3,0

Scored

2,8

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 39%

54%

23%

Points per game

1,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

69%

46%

Both score Ø 70%

85%

54%

Average goals

4,2

2,1

Scored

2,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

15 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 1

3 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Villarreal 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	13	8	2	3	+11	26
2	Barcelona	13	7	4	2	+16	25
3	Ath Madrid	14	6	7	1	+8	25
4	Alaves	13	7	2	4	+4	23
5	Real Madrid	14	7	2	5	+3	23
6	Girona	14	5	6	3	+1	21
7	Espanol	14	6	3	5	+1	21
8	Getafe	14	5	5	4	+4	20
9	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	+1	19
10	Betis	14	5	4	5	-3	19
11	Levante	13	5	3	5	-1	18
12	Eibar	14	5	3	6	-4	18
13	Celta	14	4	5	5	+3	17
14	Valencia	14	3	8	3	+0	17
15	Valladolid	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Leganes	14	4	4	6	-4	16
17	Villarreal	13	3	5	5	-1	14
18	Ath Bilbao	13	1	8	4	-6	11
19	Vallecano	14	2	4	8	-13	10
20	Huesca	14	1	4	9	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Sevilla	7	5	1	1	+5	16
4	Espanol	6	5	0	1	+5	15
5	Barcelona	7	4	2	1	+14	14
6	Alaves	6	4	2	0	+4	14
7	Eibar	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Celta	8	3	3	2	+5	12
9	Leganes	6	3	2	1	+2	11
10	Betis	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	Getafe	7	3	1	3	+3	10
12	Girona	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Valencia	7	1	5	1	+2	8
14	Valladolid	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Levante	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-4	7
17	Sociedad	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Villarreal	7	1	3	3	-2	6
19	Vallecano	8	1	3	4	-8	6
20	Huesca	6	0	3	3	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+2	13
2	Girona	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Levante	7	3	2	2	+3	11
4	Barcelona	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+6	10
6	Getafe	7	2	4	1	+1	10
7	Alaves	7	3	0	4	+0	9
8	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	9
9	Valencia	7	2	3	2	-2	9
10	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Ath Madrid	7	1	5	1	+0	8
12	Betis	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Real Madrid	7	2	1	4	-6	7
14	Espanol	8	1	3	4	-4	6
15	Celta	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Leganes	8	1	2	5	-6	5
17	Eibar	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Ath Bilbao	6	0	4	2	-2	4
19	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Huesca	8	1	1	6	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.