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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Girona
U S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Ath Madrid
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
38%
46%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
46%
15%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Girona 8. · Ath Madrid 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 13 8 2 3 +11 26
2 Barcelona 13 7 4 2 +16 25
3 Ath Madrid 13 6 6 1 +8 24
4 Alaves 13 7 2 4 +4 23
5 Real Madrid 14 7 2 5 +3 23
6 Espanol 14 6 3 5 +1 21
7 Getafe 14 5 5 4 +4 20
8 Girona 13 5 5 3 +1 20
9 Sociedad 14 5 4 5 +1 19
10 Betis 14 5 4 5 -3 19
11 Levante 13 5 3 5 -1 18
12 Eibar 14 5 3 6 -4 18
13 Celta 14 4 5 5 +3 17
14 Valencia 14 3 8 3 +0 17
15 Valladolid 14 4 5 5 -3 17
16 Leganes 14 4 4 6 -4 16
17 Villarreal 13 3 5 5 -1 14
18 Ath Bilbao 13 1 8 4 -6 11
19 Vallecano 14 2 4 8 -13 10
20 Huesca 14 1 4 9 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Girona Ath Madrid
17′
🟨 Antoine Griezmann
41′
🟨 Koke
Half-time 1–0
1–0 C. Stuani
47′
64′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ Rodri Hernández
Portu 🔁
↦ P. Roberts
66′
72′
🟨 Thomas Partey
Iraizoz 🔁
↦ Y. Bounou
72′
74′
🔁 Gelson Martins
↦ S. Arias
82′
Ramalho 2–0
own goal
Valery 🔁
↦ Aleix García
83′
89′
🟨 Saúl Ñíguez
89′
🟨 Diego Costa
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Girona

3-4-2-1
13 Y. Bounou G
4 Ramalho D
2 B. Espinosa D
15 Juanpe D
10 Borja García F
6 Álex Granell M
8 Pere Pons M
23 Aleix García M
17 P. Roberts F
29 Pedro Porro M
7 C. Stuani F
Bench (7)
9 Portu
1 Iraizoz
34 Valery
5 Alcalá
12 Douglas Luiz
19 A. Lozano
22 S. Doumbia

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
4 S. Arias D
15 S. Savić D
21 L. Hernández D
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
11 T. Lemar M
5 T. Partey M
14 Rodri Hernández M
19 Diego Costa F
7 A. Griezmann F
Bench (7)
10 Á. Correa
18 Gelson Martins
1 Adán
9 N. Kalinić
23 Vitolo
35 Francisco Montero
43 Toni Moya

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.