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Ligue 1

Referee: J Miguelgorry

Toulouse

T T U T T

2–2

Full-time

Dijon

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Dijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

0,3

0,5

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 21%

21%

Points per game

1,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

29%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%

12 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 6

12 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 15. · Dijon 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	14	0	0	+39	42
2	Montpellier	15	8	5	2	+13	29
3	Lyon	15	8	4	3	+8	28
4	Lille	15	8	3	4	+9	27
5	St Etienne	15	7	5	3	+4	26
6	Marseille	14	8	1	5	+5	25
7	Nice	15	7	3	5	-2	24
8	Nimes	15	5	5	5	+2	20
9	Reims	14	5	5	4	-3	20
10	Strasbourg	14	4	6	4	+3	18
11	Nantes	15	4	5	6	-1	17
12	Bordeaux	14	4	5	5	-1	17
13	Angers	15	4	5	6	-2	17
14	Rennes	14	4	5	5	-3	17
15	Toulouse	14	3	5	6	-11	14
16	Caen	15	2	7	6	-6	13
17	Amiens	15	4	1	10	-13	13
18	Dijon	14	3	3	8	-11	12
19	Monaco	15	2	4	9	-10	10
20	Guingamp	15	1	5	9	-20	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	8	0	0	+24	24
2	Lille	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	St Etienne	8	6	2	0	+10	20
4	Lyon	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Marseille	7	5	1	1	+11	16
6	Montpellier	8	4	3	1	+8	15
7	Reims	7	3	3	1	+2	12
8	Strasbourg	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Bordeaux	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Nantes	7	2	3	2	+6	9
11	Nimes	7	2	3	2	+2	9
12	Amiens	7	3	0	4	+0	9
13	Angers	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Nice	7	3	0	4	-5	9
15	Rennes	6	2	2	2	-1	8
16	Toulouse	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Caen	7	1	4	2	-1	7
18	Dijon	7	1	1	5	-10	4
19	Guingamp	7	0	3	4	-7	3
20	Monaco	8	0	3	5	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+15	18
2	Nice	8	4	3	1	+3	15
3	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+5	14
4	Nimes	8	3	2	3	+0	11
5	Lyon	7	3	2	2	+0	11
6	Rennes	8	2	3	3	-2	9
7	Marseille	7	3	0	4	-6	9
8	Angers	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Dijon	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Reims	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Nantes	8	2	2	4	-7	8
12	Strasbourg	7	1	4	2	-1	7
13	Monaco	7	2	1	4	-2	7
14	Lille	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-3	6
16	Caen	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	St Etienne	7	1	3	3	-6	6
18	Toulouse	7	1	3	3	-8	6
19	Guingamp	8	1	2	5	-13	5
20	Amiens	8	1	1	6	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.