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Premier League

Referee: Craig Pawson

Chelsea

U S S U T

2–0

Full-time

Fulham

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Fulham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,8

This season — Premier League · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 39%

62%

15%

Points per game

2,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

69%

Both score Ø 54%

54%

Average goals

3,0

3,6

Scored

2,2

1,1

Conceded

0,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chelsea 4. · Fulham 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	14	12	2	0	+37	38
2	Liverpool	13	10	3	0	+21	33
3	Tottenham	13	10	0	3	+12	30
4	Chelsea	13	8	4	1	+17	28
5	Arsenal	13	8	3	2	+12	27
6	Everton	13	6	4	3	+5	22
7	Man United	14	6	4	4	-1	22
8	Leicester	14	6	3	5	+3	21
9	Bournemouth	14	6	2	6	+2	20
10	Watford	14	6	2	6	-2	20
11	Brighton	14	5	3	6	-4	18
12	Wolves	14	4	4	6	-4	16
13	West Ham	14	4	3	7	-5	15
14	Crystal Palace	14	3	3	8	-7	12
15	Newcastle	14	3	3	8	-8	12
16	Cardiff	14	3	2	9	-14	11
17	Huddersfield	14	2	4	8	-15	10
18	Southampton	14	1	6	7	-14	9
19	Burnley	14	2	3	9	-16	9
20	Fulham	13	2	2	9	-19	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	8	8	0	0	+25	24
2	Liverpool	6	5	1	0	+13	16
3	Everton	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Chelsea	7	4	3	0	+8	15
5	Arsenal	7	4	2	1	+6	14
6	Watford	7	4	0	3	-1	12
7	Leicester	7	3	2	2	+4	11
8	Bournemouth	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Brighton	6	3	2	1	+2	11
10	Man United	6	3	2	1	+0	11
11	Cardiff	8	3	1	4	-4	10
12	Tottenham	5	3	0	2	+3	9
13	Wolves	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	West Ham	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	Fulham	6	2	1	3	-6	7
16	Newcastle	8	2	0	6	-7	6
17	Southampton	7	0	5	2	-4	5
18	Crystal Palace	7	1	2	4	-4	5
19	Huddersfield	8	1	2	5	-7	5
20	Burnley	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	8	7	0	1	+9	21
2	Liverpool	7	5	2	0	+8	17
3	Man City	6	4	2	0	+12	14
4	Chelsea	6	4	1	1	+9	13
5	Arsenal	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	Man United	8	3	2	3	-1	11
7	Leicester	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	Bournemouth	7	3	0	4	-1	9
9	Watford	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	West Ham	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Wolves	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Crystal Palace	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Brighton	8	2	1	5	-6	7
14	Newcastle	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Everton	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Huddersfield	6	1	2	3	-8	5
17	Burnley	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Southampton	7	1	1	5	-10	4
19	Cardiff	6	0	1	5	-10	1
20	Fulham	7	0	1	6	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.