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Championship
Referee: Christopher Sarginson
Cardiff
U U S S S
0–2
Full-time
Hull
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Championship · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 2. · Hull 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 6 5 1 0 +5 16
2 Cardiff 6 3 3 0 +5 12
3 Middlesbrough 6 3 2 1 +6 11
4 Birmingham 5 3 2 0 +5 11
5 Burnley 6 3 2 1 +2 11
6 Hull 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 QPR 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Ipswich 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Reading 6 2 3 1 +5 9
10 Charlton 6 2 3 1 +2 9
11 Fulham 6 2 2 2 +1 8
12 Leeds 6 1 5 0 +1 8
13 Nott'm Forest 6 2 2 2 +0 8
14 Derby 6 1 4 1 +0 7
15 Milton Keynes Dons 6 2 1 3 -1 7
16 Wolves 6 2 1 3 -2 7
17 Bolton 6 1 3 2 -3 6
18 Brentford 5 1 2 2 -1 5
19 Sheffield Weds 6 1 2 3 -3 5
20 Preston 6 1 2 3 -3 5
21 Bristol City 6 1 1 4 -6 4
22 Blackburn 6 0 3 3 -3 3
23 Huddersfield 6 0 3 3 -5 3
24 Rotherham 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Hull
8′
M. Diamé 0–1
Fábio 🟨
35′
Anthony Pilkington 🟨
42′
42′
🟨 Andrew Robertson
Half-time 0–1
B. Écuélé Manga 🔁
↦ M. Connolly
46′
Peter Whittingham 🟨
59′
Sammy Ameobi 🔁
↦ A. Pilkington
63′
69′
🔁 Ahmed El Mohamady
↦ A. Robertson
C. Noone 🔁
↦ J. Ralls
78′
80′
A. Hernández 0–2
M. Diamé
81′
🔁 C. Akpom
↦ A. Hernández
84′
🔁 D. Meyler
↦ S. Aluko
Lee Peltier 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 David Meyler
90′
🟨 Allan McGregor
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Cardiff

1 D. Marshall
16 M. Connolly D
2 L. Peltier D
4 S. Morrison D
3 Fábio D
7 P. Whittingham M
15 K. Dikgacoi
13 A. Pilkington F
8 J. Ralls M
9 K. Jones F
10 J. Mason F
Bench (7)
5 B. Écuélé Manga
38 Sammy Ameobi
11 C. Noone
17 A. Gunnarsson
19 A. Revell
21 S. Moore
28 S. Malone

Hull

1 A. McGregor G
21 M. Dawson D
6 C. Davies D
4 A. Bruce D
26 A. Robertson D
8 T. Huddlestone M
24 S. Aluko M
17 M. Diamé M
11 S. Clucas M
2 M. Odubajo D
9 A. Hernández F
Bench (7)
27 Ahmed El Mohamady
19 C. Akpom
7 D. Meyler
5 R. Taylor
16 E. Jakupovic
20 I. Hayden
32 G. Luer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.