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Championship
Referee: Simon Hooper
Brighton
S S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Hull
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
80%
60%
Points per game
2,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
80%
60%
Points per game
2,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brighton 1. · Hull 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 5 4 1 0 +4 13
2 Hull 5 3 1 1 +4 10
3 QPR 6 3 1 2 +1 10
4 Ipswich 6 3 1 2 -1 10
5 Reading 6 2 3 1 +5 9
6 Cardiff 5 2 3 0 +3 9
7 Middlesbrough 5 2 2 1 +4 8
8 Birmingham 4 2 2 0 +3 8
9 Charlton 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Nott'm Forest 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Burnley 5 2 2 1 +0 8
12 Leeds 5 1 4 0 +1 7
13 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 1 2 +1 7
14 Wolves 5 2 1 2 -1 7
15 Fulham 5 1 2 2 +0 5
16 Sheffield Weds 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Preston 5 1 2 2 -2 5
18 Brentford 4 1 1 2 -1 4
19 Derby 5 0 4 1 -1 4
20 Bristol City 5 1 1 3 -4 4
21 Blackburn 5 0 3 2 -2 3
22 Huddersfield 5 0 3 2 -3 3
23 Bolton 5 0 3 2 -4 3
24 Rotherham 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brighton Hull
1–0 T. Hemed
S. Baldock
5′
29′
🟨 David Meyler
31′
🔁 T. Huddlestone
↦ D. Meyler
Kazenga LuaLua 🟨
37′
Gordon Greer 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
63′
🟨 Moses Odubajo
R. Ince 🔁
↦ T. Hemed
67′
68′
🔁 S. Aluko
↦ I. Hayden
B. Zamora 🔁
↦ S. Baldock
78′
Dale Stephens 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 G. Luer
↦ C. Akpom
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ K. LuaLua
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Brighton

13 D. Stockdale
3 G. Greer D
4 U. Hünemeier D
23 L. Rosenior D
12 G. Bong D
2 Bruno Saltor D
30 K. LuaLua M
6 D. Stephens M
7 B. Kayal M
9 S. Baldock F
10 T. Hemed F
Bench (7)
24 R. Ince
25 B. Zamora
15 J. Murphy
1 N. Mäenpää
5 L. Dunk
18 J. Forster-Caskey
20 S. March

Hull

1 A. McGregor G
21 M. Dawson D
6 C. Davies D
20 I. Hayden M
27 Ahmed El Mohamady D
7 D. Meyler M
17 M. Diamé M
11 S. Clucas M
2 M. Odubajo D
9 A. Hernández F
19 C. Akpom F
Bench (7)
8 T. Huddlestone
24 S. Aluko
32 G. Luer
4 A. Bruce
5 R. Taylor
16 E. Jakupovic
26 A. Robertson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Simon Hooper · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.