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Championship
Referee: Andy Davies
Cardiff
U U U
2–0
Full-time
Wolves
S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Championship · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
7 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 18. · Wolves 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ipswich 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Brighton 4 3 1 0 +3 10
3 Charlton 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Milton Keynes Dons 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Hull 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 QPR 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Middlesbrough 4 1 2 1 +2 5
8 Birmingham 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Sheffield Weds 4 1 2 1 +1 5
10 Nott'm Forest 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Preston 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Burnley 4 1 2 1 -1 5
13 Brentford 3 1 1 1 +1 4
14 Wolves 3 1 1 1 +0 4
15 Leeds 4 0 4 0 +0 4
16 Derby 4 0 4 0 +0 4
17 Bristol City 4 1 1 2 -3 4
18 Cardiff 3 0 3 0 +0 3
19 Reading 4 0 3 1 -1 3
20 Huddersfield 4 0 3 1 -2 3
21 Fulham 4 0 2 2 -2 2
22 Blackburn 4 0 2 2 -2 2
23 Bolton 4 0 2 2 -4 2
24 Rotherham 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Wolves
Kagisho Dikgacoi 🟨
28′
33′
🟨 Conor Coady
1–0 K. Jones
Fábio
44′
Half-time 1–0
Sammy Ameobi 🔁
↦ K. Jones
57′
2–0 Sammy Ameobi
K. Dikgacoi
60′
62′
🔁 N. Dicko
↦ S. Ojo
63′
🔁 J. Henry
↦ K. McDonald
B. Écuélé Manga 🔁
↦ Fábio
88′
Sean Morrison 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Cardiff

1 D. Marshall
16 M. Connolly D
2 L. Peltier D
4 S. Morrison D
3 Fábio D
7 P. Whittingham M
15 K. Dikgacoi
13 A. Pilkington F
8 J. Ralls M
9 K. Jones F
10 J. Mason F
Bench (7)
38 Sammy Ameobi
5 B. Écuélé Manga
11 C. Noone
17 A. Gunnarsson
18 E. Doyle
19 A. Revell
21 S. Moore

Wolves

1 C. Ikeme G
5 R. Stearman D
23 E. Ebanks-Landell D
16 C. Coady D
30 K. Hause D
18 D. Iorfa D
4 D. Edwards M
11 K. McDonald M
20 S. Ojo F
17 R. van La Parra M
10 B. Afobe F
Bench (7)
9 N. Dicko
7 J. Henry
2 M. Doherty
3 S. Golbourne
19 J. Price
26 E. Martínez
48 B. Enobakhare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andy Davies · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.