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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Manuel Gomes Costa
Guimaraes
U U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Boavista
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 26%
30%
22%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
48%
37%
Both score Ø 39%
56%
22%
Average goals
2,9
2,0
Scored
1,4
0,7
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
7 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guimaraes 9. · Boavista 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 28 23 1 4 +57 70
2 Sp Lisbon 27 20 5 2 +39 65
3 Porto 27 19 4 4 +30 61
4 Sp Braga 28 14 8 6 +20 50
5 Arouca 28 11 11 6 +5 44
6 Rio Ave 27 11 6 10 -1 39
7 Pacos Ferreira 27 9 9 9 +0 36
8 Estoril 27 10 6 11 +0 36
9 Guimaraes 27 8 10 9 -5 34
10 Nacional 28 9 7 12 -8 34
11 Belenenses 27 8 9 10 -18 33
12 Maritimo 28 9 5 14 -14 32
13 Vitoria Setubal 27 6 10 11 -12 28
14 Moreirense 27 7 7 13 -13 28
15 U. Madeira 27 6 7 14 -19 25
16 Boavista 27 6 6 15 -14 24
17 Academica 28 5 8 15 -22 23
18 Tondela 27 3 5 19 -25 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Nov -15 Boavista – Guimaraes 1–2

Match report

Guimaraes Boavista
1–0 Valente
19′
35′
Paulo Vinicius 1–1
Half-time 1–1
60′
🟨 Anderson Carvalho
João Teixeira 🔁
↦ Oriol Rosell
60′
65′
🟨 Nuno Henrique
Alexandre Silva 🔁
↦ Licá
74′
Franci 🔁
↦ Valente
79′
81′
🔁 I. Iriberri
↦ Zé Manuel
91′
🔁 E. Hackman
↦ Anderson Carvalho
95′
🔁 Mario Martínez
↦ Rúben Ribeiro
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Guimaraes

56 João Miguel G
3 Josué Sá D
2 Pedrão D
76 Bruno Gaspar D
93 Dalbert Henrique D
25 Oriol Rosell M
26 Cafú M
52 Otavinho M
11 Licá F
89 Henrique Dourado F
7 Valente M
Bench (7)
24 João Teixeira
45 Alexandre Silva
88 Franci
1 Douglas Jesus
15 João Afonso
70 Tozé
94 T. Phete

Boavista

1 Mika G
5 Paulo Vinicius D
23 Nuno Henrique D
28 Tiago Mesquita D
25 Afonso Figueiredo D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
21 A. Tahar M
27 Anderson Carvalho M
42 I. Mandiang M
70 Zé Manuel M
17 Renato Santos M
Bench (7)
79 I. Iriberri
11 Mario Martínez
14 E. Hackman
12 Gideão
22 Carlos Santos
75 M. Uchebo
94 Philipe Sampaio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rui Manuel Gomes Costa · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.