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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
De Graafschap
U T T S T
2–2
Full-time
Cambuur
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap Cambuur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 13%
14%
11%
Points per game
0,6
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
68%
57%
Both score Ø 59%
61%
57%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match De Graafschap 17. · Cambuur 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 28 21 5 2 +50 68
2 PSV Eindhoven 28 20 6 2 +41 66
3 Feyenoord 28 15 4 9 +16 49
4 AZ Alkmaar 28 14 5 9 +11 47
5 Vitesse 28 12 7 9 +22 43
6 Zwolle 26 12 5 9 +9 41
7 Heracles 26 12 5 9 -2 41
8 Nijmegen 28 11 7 10 -1 40
9 Den Haag 28 9 10 9 -1 37
10 Utrecht 25 10 6 9 +5 36
11 Twente 28 10 5 13 -13 35
12 Groningen 27 9 7 11 -12 34
13 Heerenveen 28 9 7 12 -15 34
14 Roda 28 7 10 11 -14 31
15 Willem II 28 5 10 13 -13 25
16 Excelsior 28 6 7 15 -21 25
17 De Graafschap 28 4 5 19 -24 17
18 Cambuur 28 3 7 18 -38 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

De Graafschap Cambuur
1–0 V. Vermeij
A. Driver
23′
29′
C. Mac-Intosch 1–1
J. Byrne
Half-time 1–1
54′
🔁 K. van Veen
↦ F. Narsingh
61′
K. van Veen 1–2
Piotr Parzyszek 🟨
62′
P. Parzyszek 🔁
↦ C. Peters
62′
D. Koolhof 🔁
↦ M. Diemers
70′
71′
🟨 Martijn Barto
2–2 T. van de Pavert
75′
80′
🔁 T. Hiariej
↦ J. Byrne
K. Vida 🔁
↦ Y. El Jebli
81′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

De Graafschap

1 H. Jurjus G
5 J. Tesselaar
4 T. van de Pavert D
19 N. Will D
3 R. Pröpper D
15 A. Driver M
8 K. Tarfi M
42 M. Diemers M
20 Y. El Jebli M
13 C. Peters F
9 V. Vermeij F
Bench (7)
43 P. Parzyszek
10 D. Koolhof
23 K. Vida
12 B. Straalman
17 N. Kabasele
25 T. Cicek
41 E. Verstappen

Cambuur

26 H. Zeinstra G
21 M. van der Laan D
30 C. Mac-Intosch
23 M. Peersman D
29 D. Lachman D
6 E. Bakker M
20 S. van de Streek M
10 J. Byrne M
7 F. Narsingh F
15 J. Hoefdraad M
9 M. Barto F
Bench (7)
18 K. van Veen
24 T. Hiariej
4 V. Andriuškevičius
8 S. Overgoor
17 R. Vloet
35 Jamiro Monteiro
28 A. Krul

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.