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Championship

Referee: Tony Harrington

Bristol City

S T S S T

0–1

Full-time

Newcastle

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Newcastle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,0

This season — Championship · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

17 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 1

9 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

13 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bristol City 8. · Newcastle 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Norwich	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Huddersfield	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	QPR	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Brentford	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Barnsley	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Bristol City	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Wolves	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Birmingham	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Wigan	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Aston Villa	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Ipswich	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Cardiff	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Derby	3	1	1	1	-1	4
16	Leeds	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Sheffield Weds	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	Newcastle	3	1	0	2	+1	3
19	Burton Albion	3	1	0	2	+0	3
20	Nott'm Forest	3	1	0	2	-3	3
21	Reading	3	1	0	2	-4	3
22	Rotherham	3	0	1	2	-6	1
23	Preston	3	0	0	3	-3	0
24	Blackburn	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Barnsley	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Brentford	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Aston Villa	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Wigan	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Wolves	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Norwich	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	QPR	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Burton Albion	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Leeds	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	0
24	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huddersfield	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	QPR	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Leeds	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Derby	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sheffield Weds	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Ipswich	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Blackburn	2	0	0	2	-4	0
22	Nott'm Forest	2	0	0	2	-4	0
23	Reading	2	0	0	2	-5	0
24	Rotherham	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.