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Championship
Referee: Oliver Langford
1–2
Full-time
Brighton
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Brighton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
2,8
1,3
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Championship · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
30%
Both score Ø 35%
60%
10%
Average goals
2,4
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
25 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 8. · Brighton 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huddersfield 10 7 1 2 +5 22
2 Norwich 10 6 2 2 +5 20
3 Newcastle 10 6 1 3 +11 19
4 Brighton 10 5 3 2 +6 18
5 Brentford 10 5 2 3 +9 17
6 Bristol City 10 5 2 3 +6 17
7 Birmingham 10 4 5 1 +4 17
8 Sheffield Weds 10 5 2 3 +0 17
9 Reading 10 5 2 3 -3 17
10 Barnsley 10 5 1 4 +6 16
11 Wolves 10 4 3 3 +2 15
12 QPR 11 4 3 4 -3 15
13 Fulham 11 3 5 3 -3 14
14 Ipswich 10 3 4 3 +0 13
15 Leeds 10 4 1 5 -2 13
16 Nott'm Forest 10 3 3 4 -2 12
17 Aston Villa 10 1 7 2 +0 10
18 Burton Albion 10 2 4 4 -2 10
19 Preston 10 3 1 6 -4 10
20 Derby 10 2 3 5 -4 9
21 Wigan 10 2 2 6 -2 8
22 Blackburn 10 2 2 6 -7 8
23 Cardiff 10 2 2 6 -9 8
24 Rotherham 10 1 3 6 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Brighton
26′
S. Baldock 0–1
L. Dunk
35′
🟨 Shane Duffy
Half-time 0–1
C. Dawson 🔁
↦ K. Westwood
46′
51′
🟨 Bruno Saltor
G. Hooper 🔁
↦ D. Pudil
58′
63′
🟨 Sam Baldock
73′
A. Knockaert 0–2
G. Bong
74′
🟨 Anthony Knockaert
76′
🔁 J. Skalák
↦ S. Baldock
89′
🔁 T. Hemed
↦ G. Murray
1–2 G. Hooper
95′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

4-4-2
1 K. Westwood G
36 D. Pudil D
12 G. Loovens D
32 J. Hunt D
15 T. Lees D
9 A. Reach M
33 R. Wallace M
5 K. Lee M
41 B. Bannan M
6 S. Fletcher F
45 F. Forestieri F
Bench (7)
25 C. Dawson
14 G. Hooper
3 D. Jones
16 L. Palmer
38 W. Buckley
39 V. Sasso
44 A. Nuhiu

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Brighton

4-4-2
13 D. Stockdale
3 G. Bong D
2 Bruno Saltor D
22 S. Duffy D
5 L. Dunk D
14 S. Sidwell M
15 J. Murphy M
21 O. Norwood M
11 A. Knockaert M
17 G. Murray F
9 S. Baldock F
Bench (7)
8 J. Skalák
10 T. Hemed
12 S. Pocognoli
18 C. Goldson
19 E. Manu
24 R. Ince
1 N. Mäenpää

Coach: C. Hughton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.