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Championship
Referee: Tony Harrington
Wigan
T U T S T
0–2
Full-time
Aston Villa
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wigan Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,7
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Championship · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 27%
22%
32%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
38%
30%
Both score Ø 42%
38%
46%
Average goals
2,0
2,1
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 7
4 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wigan 23. · Aston Villa 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 37 24 5 8 +38 77
2 Brighton 37 23 8 6 +32 77
3 Huddersfield 34 21 5 8 +6 68
4 Leeds 37 20 6 11 +14 66
5 Reading 35 19 7 9 +7 64
6 Fulham 35 15 13 7 +17 58
7 Preston 38 15 12 11 +6 57
8 Sheffield Weds 36 16 8 12 +6 56
9 Norwich 37 15 9 13 +7 54
10 Derby 38 14 11 13 +3 53
11 Barnsley 37 14 9 14 +2 51
12 Aston Villa 37 12 12 13 -2 48
13 Cardiff 37 13 9 15 -3 48
14 Brentford 37 13 8 16 +1 47
15 QPR 37 13 8 16 -9 47
16 Ipswich 37 10 15 12 -7 45
17 Birmingham 37 11 11 15 -16 44
18 Wolves 36 11 9 16 -4 42
19 Bristol City 38 11 8 19 -3 41
20 Nott'm Forest 38 11 8 19 -11 41
21 Burton Albion 37 10 11 16 -12 41
22 Blackburn 38 9 13 16 -11 40
23 Wigan 37 8 10 19 -11 34
24 Rotherham 37 4 5 28 -50 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Dec -16 Aston Villa – Wigan 1–0

Match report

Wigan Aston Villa
Jamie Hanson 🟨
23′
42′
🟨 Conor Hourihane
Half-time 0–0
C. Connolly 🔁
↦ A. Kellett
54′
60′
🔁 H. Lansbury
↦ G. Gardner
60′
🔁 S. Hogan
↦ J. Bree
R. Colclough 🔁
↦ G. Obertan
61′
73′
J. Chester 0–1
75′
🟨 Henri Lansbury
A. Gilbey 🔁
↦ Sam Morsy
82′
84′
🔁 T. Elphick
↦ A. Adomah
84′
S. Hogan 0–2
A. Adomah
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Wigan

4-2-3-1
35 M. Gilks G
3 J. Buxton D
20 C. Morgan D
33 D. Burn D
13 A. Kellett D
26 J. Hanson M
11 G. Obertan M
16 S. MacDonald M
17 M. Jacobs M
8 Sam Morsy M
14 O. Bogle F
Bench (7)
12 C. Connolly
27 R. Colclough
7 A. Gilbey
4 D. Perkins
6 M. Power
21 A. Bruce
28 J. Haugaard

Coach: G. Barrow

Aston Villa

4-4-2
34 S. Johnstone G
21 A. Hutton D
3 N. Taylor D
12 J. Chester D
23 J. Amavi D
16 J. Bree D
25 M. Jedinak M
37 A. Adomah M
14 C. Hourihane M
22 G. Gardner M
26 J. Kodjia F
Bench (7)
5 H. Lansbury
9 S. Hogan
6 T. Elphick
4 M. Richards
31 M. Bunn
39 K. Davis
40 J. Grealish

Coach: S. Bruce

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tony Harrington · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.