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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Wolfsburg
S T T U S
1–0
Full-time
Darmstadt
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 23%
29%
17%
Points per game
1,1
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
42%
Both score Ø 44%
46%
42%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 14. · Darmstadt 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 24 18 5 1 +47 59
2 RB Leipzig 24 15 4 5 +18 49
3 Dortmund 25 13 7 5 +27 46
4 Hoffenheim 24 10 12 2 +20 42
5 Hertha 24 12 4 8 +6 40
6 Ein Frankfurt 24 10 5 9 -1 35
7 FC Koln 24 8 10 6 +6 34
8 Freiburg 24 10 4 10 -10 34
9 M'gladbach 24 9 5 10 -3 32
10 Leverkusen 24 9 4 11 -2 31
11 Schalke 04 24 8 6 10 +4 30
12 Mainz 24 8 5 11 -7 29
13 Augsburg 24 7 7 10 -10 28
14 Wolfsburg 24 7 5 12 -12 26
15 Werder Bremen 24 7 5 12 -13 26
16 Hamburg 24 7 5 12 -22 26
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 25 5 4 16 -19 19
18 Darmstadt 24 4 3 17 -29 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Darmstadt
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Gómez
J. Horn
46′
P. Ntep 🔁
↦ M. Arnold
46′
57′
🔁 F. Platte
↦ S. Sirigu
58′
🟨 Jérôme Gondorf
Mario Gómez 🟨
62′
Robin Knoche 🟨
62′
68′
🟨 Aytaç Sulu
69′
🔁 A. Colak
↦ S. Schipplock
74′
🟨 Patrick Banggaard
C. Träsch 🔁
↦ R. Bazoer
80′
85′
🔁 W. Kamavuaka
↦ M. Heller
Borja Mayoral 🔁
↦ P. Ntep
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
28 K. Casteels G
31 R. Knoche D
21 J. Horn D
22 Luiz Gustavo M
14 J. Błaszczykowski M
8 Vieirinha M
23 J. Guilavogui M
10 Y. Mallı M
27 M. Arnold M
6 R. Bazoer M
33 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
9 P. Ntep
15 C. Träsch
17 Borja Mayoral
2 P. Wollscheid
20 M. Grün
35 G. Itter
30 P. Seguin

Coach: A. Jonker

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
1 Daniel Heuer G
13 M. Steinhöfer D
32 F. Holland D
17 S. Sirigu D
4 A. Sulu D
26 P. Banggaard D
34 Hamit Altıntop M
20 M. Heller M
33 S. Sam M
8 J. Gondorf M
39 S. Schipplock F
Bench (7)
19 F. Platte
16 A. Colak
36 W. Kamavuaka
2 L. Guwara
3 A. Milosevic
24 I. Berezovskiy
7 A. Fedetskiy

Coach: T. Frings

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.