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Serie A
Referee: Luca Banti
Torino
S T U S T
2–2
Full-time
Inter
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,5
3,7
Scored
2,2
2,7
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
This season — Serie A · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 49%
36%
61%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
68%
61%
Both score Ø 65%
75%
54%
Average goals
3,5
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,9
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
17 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 10. · Inter 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 28 23 1 4 +39 70
2 Roma 28 20 2 6 +36 62
3 Napoli 28 18 6 4 +35 60
4 Lazio 28 17 5 6 +20 56
5 Inter 28 17 3 8 +24 54
6 Atalanta 28 16 4 8 +10 52
7 Milan 28 15 5 8 +9 50
8 Fiorentina 28 12 9 7 +8 45
9 Sampdoria 28 11 8 9 +2 41
10 Torino 28 10 9 9 +6 39
11 Chievo 28 11 5 12 -4 38
12 Udinese 28 9 6 13 -5 33
13 Sassuolo 28 9 4 15 -8 31
14 Bologna 28 8 7 13 -16 31
15 Cagliari 28 9 4 15 -22 31
16 Genoa 28 7 8 13 -12 29
17 Empoli 28 5 7 16 -28 22
18 Palermo 28 3 6 19 -33 15
19 Crotone 28 3 5 20 -27 14
20 Pescara 28 2 6 20 -34 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Inter
27′
G. Kondogbia 0–1
D. D'Ambrosio
1–1 D. Baselli
E. Moretti
33′
Half-time 1–1
57′
🔁 J. Murillo
↦ G. Medel
2–1 A. Acquah
J. Iturbe
59′
60′
🔁 E. Martins
↦ É. Banega
62′
A. Candreva 2–2
C. Ansaldi
L. Boyé 🔁
↦ A. Ljajić
65′
Iago Falqué 🔁
↦ J. Iturbe
70′
76′
🔁 M. Brozović
↦ G. Kondogbia
M. López 🔁
↦ D. Baselli
85′
Maxi López 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Torino

4-3-3
21 J. Hart G
24 E. Moretti D
3 C. Molinaro D
13 L. Rossettini D
7 D. Zappacosta M
6 A. Acquah M
8 D. Baselli M
25 S. Lukić M
10 A. Ljajić M
19 J. Iturbe F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
31 L. Boyé
14 Iago Falqué
11 M. López
1 D. Padelli
4 Leandro Castán
15 M. Benassi
16 Samuel Gustafson
18 M. Valdifiori
23 A. Barreca
29 L. De Silvestri
90 T. Cucchietti
5 Carlão

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
19 É. Banega M
17 G. Medel M
7 G. Kondogbia M
5 R. Gagliardini M
44 I. Perišić M
87 A. Candreva M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (12)
24 J. Murillo
23 E. Martins
77 M. Brozović
2 M. Andreolli
6 João Mário
8 R. Palacio
11 J. Biabiany
20 T. Sainsbury
21 D. Santon
30 J. Carrizo
55 Y. Nagatomo
96 Gabriel

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luca Banti · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.