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Championship
Rotherham
T T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Fulham
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
3,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,7
+0,3
This season — Championship · 38/36 matches
Win Ø 27%
11%
42%
Points per game
0,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
68%
53%
Both score Ø 59%
53%
64%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%
8 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 24. · Fulham 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 38 24 6 8 +38 78
2 Brighton 38 23 8 7 +30 77
3 Leeds 38 21 6 11 +16 69
4 Huddersfield 34 21 5 8 +6 68
5 Reading 35 19 7 9 +7 64
6 Fulham 36 15 13 8 +15 58
7 Norwich 38 16 9 13 +9 57
8 Preston 38 15 12 11 +6 57
9 Sheffield Weds 37 16 9 12 +6 57
10 Derby 39 15 11 13 +4 56
11 Barnsley 39 14 10 15 +0 52
12 Aston Villa 38 13 12 13 +0 51
13 Cardiff 38 14 9 15 -1 51
14 Brentford 38 14 8 16 +3 50
15 QPR 39 14 8 17 -6 50
16 Wolves 37 12 9 16 -2 45
17 Ipswich 38 10 15 13 -9 45
18 Birmingham 38 11 12 15 -16 45
19 Bristol City 38 11 8 19 -3 41
20 Nott'm Forest 38 11 8 19 -11 41
21 Burton Albion 38 10 11 17 -14 41
22 Blackburn 38 9 13 16 -11 40
23 Wigan 38 8 10 20 -13 34
24 Rotherham 38 4 5 29 -54 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Fulham
Half-time 0–0
J. Yates 🔁
↦ C. Morris
62′
63′
🔁 F. Ayité
↦ N. Kebano
66′
S. Aluko 0–1
B. Purrington 🔁
↦ D. Fisher
76′
A. Forde 🔁
↦ L. Frecklington
79′
Ben Purrington 🟨
82′
90′
🟨 Stefan Johansen
92′
🔁 R. Sessegnon
↦ S. Aluko
94′
🔁 T. Ream
↦ S. Malone
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rotherham

4-4-2
12 L. Price G
26 A. Belaïd D
17 D. Fisher D
15 S. Ajayi D
8 L. Frecklington M
33 R. Smallwood M
11 J. Taylor M
22 J. Newell M
4 W. Vaulks M
9 D. Ward F
10 C. Morris F
Bench (7)
39 J. Yates
30 B. Purrington
7 A. Forde
2 S. Kelly
6 R. Wood
18 R. O'Donnell
27 A. Bray

Coach: P. Warne

Fulham

4-2-3-1
27 D. Button G
15 M. Madl D
3 S. Malone D
26 T. Kalas D
24 S. Aluko M
14 S. Johansen M
6 K. McDonald M
10 T. Cairney M
7 N. Kebano M
2 R. Fredericks D
25 C. Martin F
Bench (7)
11 F. Ayité
13 T. Ream
30 R. Sessegnon
1 M. Bettinelli
9 G. Cyriac
17 R. Sigurðsson
33 T. Petsos

Coach: S. Jokanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.