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Primeira Liga
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Boavista
S T U S U
0–1
Full-time
Rio Ave
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Rio Ave
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,2
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 35%
31%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 9. · Rio Ave 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 26 20 4 2 +43 64
2 Porto 26 19 6 1 +46 63
3 Sp Lisbon 26 16 6 4 +23 54
4 Guimaraes 27 13 8 6 +10 47
5 Sp Braga 26 13 7 6 +16 46
6 Maritimo 26 11 7 8 +2 40
7 Chaves 27 8 12 7 +1 36
8 Rio Ave 26 10 5 11 -4 35
9 Boavista 26 8 10 8 +2 34
10 Belenenses 26 8 8 10 -8 32
11 Feirense 26 9 5 12 -16 32
12 Vitoria Setubal 26 8 7 11 -2 31
13 Pacos Ferreira 27 6 9 12 -12 27
14 Arouca 26 8 3 15 -18 27
15 Estoril 27 6 7 14 -12 25
16 Moreirense 26 5 6 15 -16 21
17 Nacional 27 3 8 16 -27 17
18 Tondela 27 3 8 16 -28 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Rio Ave
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Gil Dias
67′
🟨 Tarantini
69′
🔁 Gonçalo Paciência
↦ Guedes
74′
🔁 A. Traoré
↦ Rúben Ribeiro
76′
A. Traoré 0–1
F. Krovinović
Rochinha 🔁
↦ Renato Santos
77′
A. Schembri 🔁
↦ Anderson Carvalho
80′
E. Mahmudov 🔁
↦ Philipe Sampaio
84′
89′
🔁 Eliseu Cassamá
↦ Lionn
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Boavista

4-3-3
33 Vagner G
3 Lucas D
20 Edu Machado D
5 Talocha D
94 Philipe Sampaio D
10 Fábio Espinho M
27 Anderson Carvalho M
42 I. Mandiang M
7 Renato Santos M
19 I. Bulos F
45 Iuri Medeiros F
Bench (7)
16 Rochinha
30 A. Schembri
15 E. Mahmudov
17 Carraça
22 Carlos Santos
28 Tiago Mesquita
61 Meira

Coach: Miguel Leal

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
1 Cássio
12 Lionn D
25 Roderick D
55 Rafa D
4 Nélson Monte D
70 Rúben Ribeiro M
22 R. Petrović M
8 Tarantini M
10 F. Krovinović M
7 Guedes F
31 Gil Dias M
Bench (7)
9 Gonçalo Paciência
23 A. Traoré
2 Eliseu Cassamá
14 Vilas Boas
19 Ronan
20 João Novais
71 Rui Vieira

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Joao Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.