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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

Zwolle

T U S T S

1–1

Full-time

Excelsior

T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 25%

30%

19%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

63%

56%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%

20 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 11. · Excelsior 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	27	22	3	2	+51	69
2	Ajax	27	19	6	2	+39	63
3	PSV Eindhoven	27	18	7	2	+34	61
4	Twente	27	11	8	8	+3	41
5	Utrecht	24	11	7	6	+8	40
6	Vitesse	27	11	6	10	+8	39
7	AZ Alkmaar	25	9	11	5	+8	38
8	Heerenveen	25	10	6	9	+10	36
9	Willem II	27	8	9	10	-5	33
10	Heracles	27	8	7	12	-9	31
11	Zwolle	27	8	6	13	-20	30
12	Sparta Rotterdam	27	7	7	13	-13	28
13	Nijmegen	27	7	7	13	-19	28
14	Groningen	26	5	11	10	-6	26
15	Excelsior	27	5	9	13	-18	24
16	Roda	27	4	11	12	-22	23
17	Den Haag	27	6	4	17	-27	22
18	Go Ahead Eagles	27	5	5	17	-22	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	14	12	2	0	+33	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+17	33
3	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+24	32
4	Twente	13	7	3	3	+6	24
5	Heerenveen	13	6	4	3	+8	22
6	Heracles	13	6	3	4	+6	21
7	Vitesse	13	6	2	5	+6	20
8	AZ Alkmaar	13	4	7	2	+6	19
9	Sparta Rotterdam	13	5	4	4	+3	19
10	Nijmegen	14	5	4	5	-1	19
11	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+4	18
12	Excelsior	14	4	5	5	+0	17
13	Willem II	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Zwolle	13	4	3	6	-9	15
15	Roda	14	3	5	6	-5	14
16	Den Haag	13	4	2	7	-6	14
17	Groningen	13	2	7	4	-7	13
18	Go Ahead Eagles	14	4	1	9	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	13	10	1	2	+18	31
2	Ajax	14	9	4	1	+15	31
3	PSV Eindhoven	13	8	4	1	+17	28
4	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+4	22
5	Vitesse	14	5	4	5	+2	19
6	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	4	3	+2	19
7	Twente	14	4	5	5	-3	17
8	Willem II	13	4	4	5	-1	16
9	Zwolle	14	4	3	7	-11	15
10	Heerenveen	12	4	2	6	+2	14
11	Groningen	13	3	4	6	+1	13
12	Heracles	14	2	4	8	-15	10
13	Sparta Rotterdam	14	2	3	9	-16	9
14	Roda	13	1	6	6	-17	9
15	Nijmegen	13	2	3	8	-18	9
16	Den Haag	14	2	2	10	-21	8
17	Go Ahead Eagles	13	1	4	8	-13	7
18	Excelsior	13	1	4	8	-18	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.