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Serie A

Referee: Davide Massa

Roma

S S T S S

2–0

Full-time

Empoli

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Empoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,7

0,5

Conceded

0,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-2,0

This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 45%

72%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

69%

38%

Both score Ø 38%

52%

24%

Average goals

3,1

2,2

Scored

2,2

0,6

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

20 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

14 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 2. · Empoli 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	29	24	1	4	+40	73
2	Roma	29	21	2	6	+38	65
3	Napoli	29	19	6	4	+36	63
4	Lazio	30	18	6	6	+21	60
5	Inter	29	17	4	8	+24	55
6	Atalanta	29	17	4	8	+13	55
7	Milan	29	16	5	8	+10	53
8	Fiorentina	29	13	9	7	+9	48
9	Sampdoria	29	11	8	10	+1	41
10	Torino	29	10	10	9	+6	40
11	Chievo	29	11	5	13	-7	38
12	Udinese	29	10	6	13	-2	36
13	Bologna	29	9	7	13	-13	34
14	Cagliari	29	9	5	15	-22	32
15	Sassuolo	30	9	4	17	-11	31
16	Genoa	29	7	8	14	-13	29
17	Empoli	29	5	7	17	-29	22
18	Palermo	29	3	6	20	-36	15
19	Crotone	29	3	5	21	-28	14
20	Pescara	29	2	6	21	-37	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	15	0	0	+30	45
2	Roma	14	13	0	1	+29	39
3	Napoli	15	10	3	2	+17	33
4	Inter	14	10	2	2	+22	32
5	Lazio	15	10	2	3	+14	32
6	Milan	15	10	2	3	+9	32
7	Atalanta	14	10	1	3	+11	31
8	Torino	14	8	5	1	+15	29
9	Fiorentina	14	7	7	0	+9	28
10	Sampdoria	15	8	4	3	+8	28
11	Cagliari	14	7	3	4	-2	24
12	Chievo	15	6	4	5	+0	22
13	Udinese	15	6	3	6	+3	21
14	Bologna	15	6	2	7	-3	20
15	Genoa	14	4	6	4	+4	18
16	Sassuolo	15	5	1	9	-6	16
17	Empoli	15	4	3	8	-12	15
18	Crotone	15	3	3	9	-8	12
19	Pescara	14	1	4	9	-15	7
20	Palermo	14	1	2	11	-19	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	14	9	3	2	+19	30
2	Juventus	14	9	1	4	+10	28
3	Lazio	15	8	4	3	+7	28
4	Roma	15	8	2	5	+9	26
5	Atalanta	15	7	3	5	+2	24
6	Inter	15	7	2	6	+2	23
7	Milan	14	6	3	5	+1	21
8	Fiorentina	15	6	2	7	+0	20
9	Chievo	14	5	1	8	-7	16
10	Sassuolo	15	4	3	8	-5	15
11	Udinese	14	4	3	7	-5	15
12	Bologna	14	3	5	6	-10	14
13	Sampdoria	14	3	4	7	-7	13
14	Torino	15	2	5	8	-9	11
15	Genoa	15	3	2	10	-17	11
16	Palermo	15	2	4	9	-17	10
17	Cagliari	15	2	2	11	-20	8
18	Empoli	14	1	4	9	-17	7
19	Pescara	15	1	2	12	-22	5
20	Crotone	14	0	2	12	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.