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Premier League
Referee: Craig Pawson
Chelsea
S U S S S
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Premier League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 54%
79%
29%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 48%
46%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

72% Possession 28%
24 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 10
9 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chelsea 1. · Crystal Palace 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 28 22 3 3 +38 69
2 Tottenham 28 17 8 3 +34 59
3 Liverpool 30 17 8 5 +27 59
4 Man City 28 17 6 5 +24 57
5 Man United 27 14 10 3 +19 52
6 Arsenal 27 15 5 7 +22 50
7 Everton 30 14 8 8 +19 50
8 West Brom 29 12 7 10 +1 43
9 Stoke 29 9 9 11 -9 36
10 Southampton 27 9 6 12 -3 33
11 Bournemouth 29 9 6 14 -12 33
12 West Ham 29 9 6 14 -12 33
13 Burnley 29 9 5 15 -11 32
14 Watford 28 8 7 13 -15 31
15 Leicester 28 8 6 14 -14 30
16 Crystal Palace 28 8 4 16 -10 28
17 Swansea 29 8 3 18 -27 27
18 Hull 29 6 6 17 -32 24
19 Middlesbrough 28 4 10 14 -13 22
20 Sunderland 28 5 5 18 -26 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.