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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre
Villarreal
T T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Leganes
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 33%
47%
19%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
38%
41%
Both score Ø 43%
44%
41%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 5. · Leganes 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 31 23 6 2 +49 75
2 Barcelona 32 22 6 4 +61 72
3 Ath Madrid 32 19 8 5 +35 65
4 Sevilla 33 19 8 6 +19 65
5 Villarreal 32 15 9 8 +20 54
6 Ath Bilbao 32 16 5 11 +8 53
7 Sociedad 32 16 4 12 +3 52
8 Eibar 32 14 8 10 +8 50
9 Espanol 32 13 10 9 +2 49
10 Celta 31 13 5 13 -3 44
11 Alaves 32 11 10 11 -8 43
12 Valencia 33 11 7 15 -9 40
13 Las Palmas 32 10 8 14 -6 38
14 Malaga 33 9 9 15 -11 36
15 Betis 32 9 7 16 -16 34
16 La Coruna 32 7 10 15 -15 31
17 Leganes 32 6 9 17 -23 27
18 Sp Gijon 32 5 7 20 -30 22
19 Granada 33 4 8 21 -43 20
20 Osasuna 32 3 8 21 -41 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Dec -16 Leganes – Villarreal 0–0

Match report

Villarreal Leganes
Half-time 0–0
Samu Castillejo 🔁
↦ N. Sansone
61′
Mateo Musacchio 🟨
65′
66′
🔁 Timor
↦ Luciano
1–0 C. Bakambu ⚽
Soldado
68′
70′
🔁 Bueno
↦ Gabriel
73′
🟨 Unai Bustinza
J. dos Santos 🔁
↦ R. Soriano
76′
81′
🔁 Samu
↦ Unai López
84′
🟨 Erik Morán
Adrián 🔁
↦ Soldado
87′
90′
🟨 Dimitrios Siovas
90′
⚽ Guerrero 1–1
Bueno
2–1 C. Bakambu ⚽
J. dos Santos
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
13 Andrés Fernández G
5 M. Musacchio D
2 Mario Gaspar D
11 Jaume Costa D
12 Álvaro González D
21 Bruno M
20 R. Soriano M
14 Trigueros M
9 Soldado F
18 N. Sansone F
17 C. Bakambu F
Bench (7)
19 Samu Castillejo
8 J. dos Santos
15 Adrián
16 Rodri Hernández
22 A. Rukavina
24 R. Borré
25 M. Barbosa

Coach: Fran Escribá

Leganes

5-4-1
13 Iago Herrerín G
22 D. Siovas D
17 Víctor Díaz D
18 Pablo Ínsua D
3 Bustinza D
4 Adrián Marín D
12 Erik Morán M
8 Gabriel M
19 Unai López M
9 Guerrero F
20 Luciano F
Bench (7)
24 Timor
10 Bueno
16 Samu
1 N. Champagne
5 M. Mantovani
15 Diego Rico
21 Rubén Pérez

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.