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Championship
Referee: England Darren
Hull
U T T T U
4–1
Full-time
Burton Albion
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Burton Albion
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,2
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
27 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hull 11. · Burton Albion 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 QPR 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Nott'm Forest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Preston 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Cardiff 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Aston Villa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Hull 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Fulham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Norwich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Derby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Bolton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Brentford 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Birmingham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Reading 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Burton Albion
6′
🔁 L. Dyer
↦ S. Warnock
1–0 A. Hernández
7′
29′
🟨 Jackson Irvine
33′
J. Irvine 1–1
M. Lund
38′
🟨 Jackson Irvine
38′
🟥 Jackson Irvine
45′
🟨 Tom Naylor
Half-time 2–1
2–1 K. Grosicki
O. Aina
51′
3–1 A. Hernández
54′
55′
🔁 T. Flanagan
↦ M. Sordell
Markus Henriksen 🟨
59′
4–1 A. Hernández
S. Clucas
68′
A. Diomande 🔁
↦ A. Hernández
69′
D. Meyler 🔁
↦ S. Clucas
71′
71′
🔁 J. Sbarra
↦ H. Akpan
Fraizer Campbell 🟨
72′
S. Larsson 🔁
↦ K. Grosicki
74′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Hull

4-4-2
1 A. McGregor G
21 M. Dawson D
5 M. Hector D
34 O. Aina D
24 M. Clark D
11 S. Clucas M
22 M. Henriksen M
7 K. Grosicki M
25 F. Campbell F
10 A. Hernández F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
14 A. Diomande
8 D. Meyler
16 S. Larsson
13 W. Mannion
30 B. Lenihan
3 O. Mazuch
17 J. Weir

Coach: L. Slutsky

Burton Albion

3-5-2
1 S. Bywater G
3 S. Warnock M
5 K. McFadzean D
23 J. Buxton D
7 L. Murphy M
15 T. Naylor D
8 M. Lund M
21 H. Akpan M
36 J. Irvine M
10 L. Akins F
17 M. Sordell M
Bench (7)
11 L. Dyer
12 T. Flanagan
26 J. Sbarra
16 L. Varney
13 C. Ripley
19 M. Palmer
4 J. Mousinho

Coach: N. Clough

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

England Darren · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.